TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Bublik, Paul
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Paul48c33,441$15,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,926.859354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56f…75efbacked Bublik52c21,728$11,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,429.664330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Paul37c15,381$5,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.072347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bublik59c12,431$7,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.4610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Paul51c12,335$6,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,318.7314345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Bublik53c10,000$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,67516140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Bublik51c7,548$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.229935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Bublik50c6,373$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.1814243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Paul52c5,660$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.752725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Bublik55c5,164$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Paul45c5,164$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.664456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Paul50c4,704$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5893…a699backed Paul49c4,608$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Bublik54c4,366$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bublik52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Paul47c3,887$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.688949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Paul32c3,432$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.6517833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Bublik54c2,994$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.314843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paul48c2,942$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.3415832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Bublik52c2,902$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.1422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Bublik53c1,982$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.719642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Paul48c1,910$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.81643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Bublik60c1,866$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.671861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Paul46c1,775$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.0536440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paul48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bublik57c1,550$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.6810138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paul48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.3162742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Bublik71c1,264$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.342839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Paul40c1,184$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4432141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Paul35c1,120$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.448643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Paul48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.0514949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Paul18c1,100$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Paul46c1,100$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.54030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bublik50c1,022$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.933452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Paul50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Bublik52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Paul49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Bublik58c813.5$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8336047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Bublik52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Paul35c683.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Bublik50c662.98$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9811060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Paul48c624.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28281938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bublik52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Bublik52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924025%10 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Bublik52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik56c553.52$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5231850.3%160 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Paul44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Paul45c517$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.436136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Paul41c512.21$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.042,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Bublik52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407955.7%44 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bublik53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23531650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Bublik53c473.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4832348.3%156 W · 167 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Paul47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Bublik52c442.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.320447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Paul40c425.26$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9113245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paul47c378.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Bublik60c372.88$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8712927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Bublik53c355.89$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.279453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bublik49c347.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.951,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Bublik69c320$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.85869%40 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d38…fc8ebacked Paul36c316.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.651010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Bublik52c305.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5625043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Paul49c270$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.312552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Paul46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Paul58c259.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15051142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Bublik52c231$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.883240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Bublik54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.617349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Paul49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Bublik78c192.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.544955.1%27 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bublik52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3173147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b2…273bbacked Paul42c180$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.226659.1%39 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdff…2dcabacked Paul59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bublik65c155.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0317767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Paul48c154.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7955143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad65…d59ebacked Bublik52c151.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Bublik52c147$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f96…56c1backed Paul33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-70.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Paul48c116.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4629553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bublik55c115$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Paul52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed Bublik52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.99570.5%67 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b0…4d8ebacked Bublik55c104.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.122070%14 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Paul32c102.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.428555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Bublik51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+69.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Bublik53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4714850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Bublik53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Bublik56c96.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.532157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Bublik53c94.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.889154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc269…927dbacked Bublik53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Bublik56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Bublik53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.615246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29b…c961backed Bublik53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…d663backed Paul59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-60.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Bublik74c67.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5135540.3%143 W · 212 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Bublik59c65.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7532161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Bublik52c63.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.44358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d5…10d3backed Bublik56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Paul45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528042.9%120 W · 160 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338e…9f49backed Bublik56c55.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.