Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c5927af2b98879999712a217d1ff65d34c13ebadcb619007e4852ea76a7845c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,320,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,423,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,320,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 657 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 29c | 844,554$246,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,151.51 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 70c | 163,425$114,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,027.53 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 70c | 120,000$84,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 72c | 105,000$75,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,450.4 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 70c | 101,719$71,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,515.73 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 72c | 90,000$64,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,399.96 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 71c | 85,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 68,304$48,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,857.49 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 20,366$13,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.48 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 29c | 19,529$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.92 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 27c | 19,367$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.08 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 28c | 19,218$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 28c | 15,036$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.11 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 72c | 14,451$10,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.49 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Yes | 73c | 13,833$10,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 73c | 13,699$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 13,600$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 11,426$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.22 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 73c | 10,959$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 76c | 9,379$7,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.34 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 27c | 7,818$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.88 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 36c | 7,614$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 73c | 6,849$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.32 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 74c | 6,785$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Yes | 64c | 6,436$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 6,434$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.65 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…c679backed Yes | 72c | 6,400$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 70c | 6,100$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.94 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 60c | 5,800$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 27c | 5,678$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.38 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 73c | 5,429$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 28c | 5,307$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.84 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 5,288$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.9 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 73c | 4,777$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 28c | 4,520$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.74 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 68c | 3,844$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 28c | 3,650$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 72c | 3,607$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.08 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,500$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 3,437$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.51 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 72c | 3,148$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 75c | 3,127$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.95 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 3,062$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.67 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 36c | 2,992$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 76c | 2,936$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 69c | 2,498$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.14 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 27c | 2,300$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.21 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 2,264$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.86 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,129$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 72c | 2,124$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Yes | 77c | 2,110$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +281%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed Yes | 76c | 1,904$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 73c | 1,859$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 1,819$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.44 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 73c | 1,811$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 32c | 1,777$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.69 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,769$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.25 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 28c | 1,720$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 71c | 1,614$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 1,521$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.46 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9e…87c9backed Yes | 72c | 1,501$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 74c | 1,491$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.4 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 28c | 1,491$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…3224backed Yes | 67c | 1,462$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,445$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.86 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 28c | 1,413$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 73c | 1,371$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked No | 14c | 1,270$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 40c | 1,268$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 68c | 1,264$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…977fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,260$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 73c | 1,122$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Yes | 73c | 1,108$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 73c | 1,076$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 72c | 1,054$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 63c | 1,008$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 38c | 999.08$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.65 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa49c…17bfbacked Yes | 73c | 968.94$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 66c | 964.62$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 73c | 936.99$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Olympique Marseille end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.