TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed No33c40,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c36,291$23,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,592.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No35c29,280$10,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2481457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No34c25,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,500933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes67c22,469$15,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes67c22,454$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,453.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No34c20,251$6,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,885.439028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes66c19,527$12,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,639.036051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No33c16,856$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.864148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.997139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c14,039$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.28828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c13,731$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,025.2227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed No33c9,200$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No32c7,500$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4251936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…a41bbacked Yes68c7,338$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…e270backed No33c7,273$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes67c6,093$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.354845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2a…4945backed Yes66c6,061$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes67c4,955$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.28955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c4,164$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.3930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No47c3,719$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.866544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,531$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.413,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes72c3,376$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.714067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes66c3,109$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.14454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78a…7166backed Yes66c3,100$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73d…7a3abacked No36c3,100$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.92560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes49c3,047$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.573452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5551…5616backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x971e…f9e2backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No34c3,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.957060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.071952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes66c2,648$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.481668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bd…28c4backed Yes66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e37…4a79backed No36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No34c2,084$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6412551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No33c1,905$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.7914854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes79c1,897$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes66c1,894$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes66c1,892$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.161758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No33c1,798$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.361926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes17c1,576$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4610437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No34c1,521$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.157762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes33c1,503$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+202.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17012251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes67c1,450$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No36c1,414$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes67c1,345$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes56c1,310$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.861963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes54c1,243$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes52c1,172$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.611894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed No58c1,056$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes66c1,030$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.292152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8721…c2b1backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401580%12 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6bbacked No34c1,000$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbf…4953backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No34c933.95$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.541216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes56c923.02$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No31c902.77$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.39330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes76c896.45$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.852254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.527468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No46c850$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93d2…49cebacked Yes65c828.81$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes55c819.59$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.593732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No47c811.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.526250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No32c807$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes29c790.03$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.024344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes67c786.43$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.523847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Yes45c772.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes66c752.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes55c749.09$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.094242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No20c696.15$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.843250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c663$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce7…7a65backed Yes66c644.24$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes65c618$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.31560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…18cdbacked Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…0e38backed No35c600$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8953…e093backed Yes65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes70c599.92$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0126545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes66c572.73$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.736246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes51c556.63$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.967100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes65c545.28$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.851770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No35c504$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes65c482.55$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…d31ebacked Yes68c480.65$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes64c476.06$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No35c461.54$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5414621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.