TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Lehecka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leheckaof Mannarino, Lehecka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc56f…75efbacked Mannarino31c24,077$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,350.084330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lehecka70c21,645$15,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,514.981,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Lehecka70c15,464$10,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,616.089354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…6e7abacked Mannarino31c12,132$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.031926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lehecka71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9915832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Mannarino30c8,663$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.2728443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Lehecka73c6,842$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.0232141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Mannarino30c6,300$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9614549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Lehecka69c5,923$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.528949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Lehecka71c4,588$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.484456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lehecka68c4,078$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Mannarino9c2,891$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.666747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Lehecka73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67513253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf007…10b4backed Mannarino24c2,423$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.941225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+122.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Mannarino23c2,173$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Lehecka72c1,679$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.114949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Mannarino46c1,658$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75713653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Lehecka70c1,571$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2515957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lehecka71c1,423$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.4495140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Lehecka73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8625244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mannarino29c1,303$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.455147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mannarino36c1,266$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.346338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Mannarino21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mannarino29c1,043$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Lehecka77c1,027$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.311859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Mannarino30c1,008$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.37330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mannarino33c1,000$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4381938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lehecka70c947.9$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Mannarino6c845.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Lehecka62c832.26$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.269742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lehecka78c800.11$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0510138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mannarino9c786.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5817833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lehecka74c769.79$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Mannarino29c722.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20914343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Mannarino28c715$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Mannarino29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Lehecka71c584$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.364843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Mannarino21c516.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Lehecka69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15512954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Mannarino25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Lehecka75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6714546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Mannarino23c442.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Lehecka70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12029636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Lehecka72c351.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0125352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Lehecka68c338.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3229634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lehecka77c332.25$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.762,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Mannarino20c310.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0320447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mannarino32c308.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Mannarino29c302.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6212949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Lehecka76c264.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.535360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Mannarino33c226$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…63d8backed Mannarino27c221.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.233745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be7…1b1dbacked Lehecka71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Mannarino31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Mannarino14c207.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Lehecka73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4826045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Lehecka69c202.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4814940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Mannarino19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Mannarino29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Mannarino20c178$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.63345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Lehecka72c164.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.682544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b2…273bbacked Lehecka70c160.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.186659.1%39 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mannarino19c158.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Mannarino24c154.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712843%55 W · 73 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Mannarino32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Lehecka72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8943158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…3668backed Lehecka70c135$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Lehecka66c130.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3412552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2adc…8f9abacked Lehecka78c128.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.026464.1%41 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Lehecka69c111$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.415552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Lehecka72c105.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5638356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Lehecka73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Mannarino32c99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.925869%40 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Mannarino22c96.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.222157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Lehecka55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Lehecka72c90.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3732161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mannarino29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…4d8ebacked Lehecka72c79.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172070%14 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Lehecka74c74.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+139.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Mannarino23c72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Lehecka74c69.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.143537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Mannarino29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd90…f217backed Lehecka73c68.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Lehecka78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.058943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Lehecka69c67.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5913245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Lehecka63c64.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Lehecka72c63.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.895100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Lehecka69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…d663backed Mannarino23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-60.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Mannarino32c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.915246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Lehecka73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Mannarino20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Mannarino33c45.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff34…837abacked Lehecka69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Lehecka74c37.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.678555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Lehecka61c26.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.396863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x338e…9f49backed Lehecka72c20.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lehecka60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6023…a142backed Lehecka71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Lehecka78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.96470.3%45 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.