NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa13312b2cc64532aed2a446b66e5a2d8d8b440b24d7213d33b6dae6a58c33223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Steelers, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,753,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,806,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,753,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Bengals | 32c | 705,885$224,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481,529.01 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Steelers | 71c | 573,468$405,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405,950.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Steelers | 49c | 428,531$208,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,003.7 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Steelers | 55c | 354,081$195,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,345.26 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bengals | 44c | 347,986$154,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,854.38 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 39c | 293,938$114,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,177.06 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bengals | 29c | 200,226$58,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,160.29 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Steelers | 68c | 156,250$106,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,250 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Bengals | 69c | 140,898$97,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,484.55 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Bengals | 33c | 137,079$45,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,271.03 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bengals | 29c | 100,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Steelers | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,999.95 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Steelers | 22c | 90,409$19,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,804.35 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Steelers | 68c | 90,002$61,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,561.26 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Bengals | 29c | 86,083$25,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,057.9 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Steelers | 14c | 83,470$11,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,748.55 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…d9a2backed Steelers | 69c | 77,758$53,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,653.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Steelers | 69c | 70,342$48,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,535.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bengals | 31c | 70,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,299.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bengals | 30c | 66,655$20,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,445.21 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Steelers | 69c | 62,522$43,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,063.35 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Steelers | 57c | 62,315$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,389.95 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers | 69c | 59,717$40,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,964.51 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bengals | 57c | 55,644$31,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,926.98 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Bengals | 63c | 53,761$34,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,669.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals | 32c | 53,000$16,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,040 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Steelers | 68c | 52,320$35,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,577.58 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Steelers | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bengals | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bengals | 30c | 47,580$14,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,305.78 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…f667backed Steelers | 69c | 46,961$32,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,403.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Steelers | 61c | 45,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bengals | 47c | 44,207$20,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,338.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bengals | 59c | 41,448$24,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,910.22 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Steelers | 68c | 39,842$27,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,092.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bengals | 52c | 39,410$20,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,949.23 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Steelers | 30c | 37,491$11,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,302.86 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Steelers | 64c | 35,870$22,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,939.13 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bengals | 30c | 34,979$10,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,484.97 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers | 22c | 32,310$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.49 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 68c | 32,163$21,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,711.12 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bengals | 32c | 30,875$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,995.09 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Steelers | 6c | 30,270$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.1 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Steelers | 36c | 30,057$10,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,702.22 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Steelers | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bengals | 79c | 28,667$22,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.46 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…eb6bbacked Bengals | 30c | 28,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 68c | 27,689$18,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,915.42 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Steelers | 70c | 26,008$18,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,094.17 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 29c | 25,000$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.07 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bengals | 30c | 24,818$7,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,372.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Steelers | 3c | 24,049$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.17 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bengals | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Steelers | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Steelers | 68c | 19,005$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,923.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…029cbacked Steelers | 7c | 18,887$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Steelers | 52c | 17,852$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,371.95 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…ffffbacked Bengals | 31c | 17,400$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Bengals | 32c | 17,067$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,605.56 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…3772backed Steelers | 69c | 17,000$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cc…d980backed Bengals | 31c | 15,900$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,971 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Steelers | 33c | 15,144$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bengals | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Bengals | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bengals | 30c | 13,234$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,251.97 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Steelers | 62c | 12,540$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Steelers | 45c | 12,397$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Steelers | 70c | 11,852$8,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,296.19 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Steelers | 71c | 11,549$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Bengals | 31c | 11,420$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Bengals | 75c | 11,334$8,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Bengals | 30c | 11,100$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Bengals | 61c | 10,987$6,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Bengals | 22c | 10,899$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,501.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Steelers | 70c | 10,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Steelers | 46c | 10,465$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.07 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Steelers | 55c | 10,100$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Steelers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Bengals | 31c | 9,909$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,879.68 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Steelers | 70c | 9,750$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 46c | 9,536$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.8 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Steelers | 58c | 8,761$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.23 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bengals | 29c | 8,680$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137.86 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…3edbbacked Steelers | 70c | 8,500$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 39c | 8,460$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.45 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bengals | 63c | 8,434$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.48 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…2c63backed Bengals | 30c | 8,400$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bengals | 66c | 8,128$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.59 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 69c | 8,066$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.56 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65d…9f18backed Steelers | 71c | 8,027$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Bengals | 30c | 7,673$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bengals | 30c | 7,450$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 71c | 7,386$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Steelers | 69c | 7,373$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.37 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x776e…b9b6backed Steelers | 71c | 7,300$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…6f0abacked Steelers | 71c | 6,800$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Bengals | 24c | 6,691$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Steelers | 61c | 6,484$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.34 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Steelers | 68c | 6,332$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Steelers vs. Bengalsthis page
- Spread: Steelers (-4.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Bengals won
- Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 42.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.