NFL · resolved market

Spread: Steelers (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc934640888ff46c1406d95ef0d9b138a683de4c4b1fb70f12e1085d63453270e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Bengalsof Steelers, Bengals
Resolved: Oct 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,673,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,216,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,673,878 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Bengals	51c	535,437$273,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262,363.98	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Steelers	50c	414,076$205,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205,857.59	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Steelers	49c	175,000$85,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,750	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Steelers	49c	102,886$50,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,413.98	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bengals	51c	81,950$41,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,155.5	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bengals	50c	65,439$32,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,719.63	174	54.6%95 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bengals	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,000	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Steelers	49c	45,678$22,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,382.17	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bengals	50c	37,000$18,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,500	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers	49c	33,237$16,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,369.96	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Steelers	50c	30,396$15,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,198.06	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Steelers	49c	29,446$14,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,428.5	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Bengals	51c	25,381$12,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,532.06	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers	50c	25,000$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bengals	50c	24,396$12,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,197.93	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Steelers	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Bengals	51c	13,255$6,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,494.9	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bengals	50c	12,675$6,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,337.64	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Steelers	49c	10,910$5,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,345.9	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Bengals	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9481…4931backed Steelers	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Bengals	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers	49c	7,480$3,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.54	412	48.5%200 W · 212 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a01…a42cbacked Bengals	51c	6,061$3,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,969.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Steelers	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers	49c	6,000$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,960	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Steelers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450.05	244	56.6%138 W · 106 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Bengals	50c	4,629$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,314.5	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Steelers	49c	4,500$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Steelers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers	50c	3,204$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Bengals	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Steelers	48c	2,020$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.51	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bengals	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Steelers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	397	54.4%216 W · 181 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bengals	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbb…9a8cbacked Steelers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Steelers	50c	1,975$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.5	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Bengals	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Steelers	50c	1,930$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bengals	50c	1,532$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Bengals	50c	1,498$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.13	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Steelers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-6.4wins	-0.40per pick	53cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Bengals	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Bengals	51c	990$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Bengals	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5a00backed Bengals	50c	815$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.35	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.39per pick	41cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe8…6355backed Steelers	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…fbd6backed Bengals	51c	800$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Steelers	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdc…f4e4backed Bengals	51c	773.41$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.97	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Steelers	49c	760.75$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.77	149	26.2%39 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Bengals	51c	744.78$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.94	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Steelers	50c	720$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8a73backed Steelers	50c	715.04$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.52	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Steelers	50c	706$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Steelers	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	236	47%111 W · 125 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Steelers	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Bengals	50c	484.15$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.08	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Steelers	50c	434$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Bengals	42c	410.44$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.76	211	51.2%108 W · 103 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Bengals	51c	409.8$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.8	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Steelers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…c208backed Steelers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413c…1904backed Bengals	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Steelers	50c	331.25$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.63	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed Bengals	51c	302.82$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.38	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x42c2…6c7cbacked Steelers	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Steelers	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Steelers	54c	280.7$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.68	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Steelers	51c	276.29$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Bengals	51c	264.71$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.71	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Steelers	49c	248$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.52	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Steelers	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bengals	51c	235.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Steelers	57c	222$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.54	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Bengals	38c	208.95$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.55	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals	50c	204.76$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.49	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Steelers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	268	57.1%153 W · 115 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Steelers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	163	51.5%84 W · 79 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Bengals	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Bengals	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Steelers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	315	40.6%128 W · 187 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Bengals	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Bengals	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf068…6184backed Bengals	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+5.6wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Steelers	49c	180$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Steelers	56c	178.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.63	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Bengals	47c	173.11$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.75	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.36per pick	53cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Steelers	58c	162.44$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.87	143	37.8%54 W · 89 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…c623backed Steelers	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Bengals	51c	135$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.15	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f78…31a4backed Bengals	51c	126.35$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.91	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Steelers	50c	125.84$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bengals	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83dd…10c6backed Bengals	50c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Steelers	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Steelers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2059…5203backed Steelers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7daf…f1b3backed Steelers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Steelers (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event