NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f7bdfbb5d28ce8a9c455600e0252b016becf26a3868ac5ca6b85a65ac5b785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,267,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,424,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,267,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Giants | 26c | 426,786$112,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,533.42 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Chiefs | 75c | 398,658$298,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,119.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Giants | 26c | 342,132$87,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,823.75 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Chiefs | 73c | 330,000$240,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,399.99 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chiefs | 77c | 231,367$178,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,632.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Chiefs | 75c | 161,734$121,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,335.87 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Giants | 26c | 121,280$31,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,745.54 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chiefs | 74c | 107,661$79,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,833.02 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 26c | 106,244$27,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,296.17 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 25c | 101,037$25,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,638.75 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Giants | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Chiefs | 73c | 66,241$48,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,885.17 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Giants | 22c | 61,910$13,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,863 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 22c | 51,715$11,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,628.1 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 25c | 49,939$12,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,611.27 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Giants | 21c | 48,151$10,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,065.45 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Giants | 28c | 47,469$13,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,108.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Giants | 27c | 47,000$12,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,690 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 27c | 43,739$11,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,813.14 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…ef86backed Chiefs | 74c | 43,101$31,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 27c | 41,597$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,129.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Giants | 17c | 41,109$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chiefs | 73c | 40,010$29,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.7 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 27c | 26,711$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Giants | 27c | 20,764$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.23 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Chiefs | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Giants | 26c | 19,999$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.87 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 26c | 19,973$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.84 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Giants | 24c | 19,220$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.68 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Giants | 2c | 18,963$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.26 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 26c | 17,015$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.97 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Giants | 26c | 16,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Chiefs | 77c | 15,927$12,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chiefs | 75c | 15,529$11,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.88 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 26c | 14,064$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.7 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Chiefs | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Chiefs | 75c | 13,338$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.54 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Chiefs | 73c | 13,303$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.73 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Giants | 27c | 12,563$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.88 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Chiefs | 73c | 11,000$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.66 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 74c | 10,716$7,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.64 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Giants | 2c | 10,551$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 26c | 10,334$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Chiefs | 74c | 10,031$7,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Chiefs | 74c | 10,023$7,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Chiefs | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chiefs | 72c | 10,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.97 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs | 75c | 9,890$7,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.53 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 77c | 8,709$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.41 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Chiefs | 73c | 8,347$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.81 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Giants | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Giants | 28c | 7,350$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.98 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Chiefs | 74c | 6,757$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.76 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 0c | 6,652$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs | 77c | 6,585$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.94 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Chiefs | 74c | 6,081$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Giants | 27c | 5,704$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Giants | 31c | 5,496$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…49cbbacked Chiefs | 73c | 5,479$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 11c | 5,081$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.84 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Giants | 28c | 4,793$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.16 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 25c | 4,304$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.92 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Giants | 28c | 4,186$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,130$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.05 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Giants | 24c | 4,094$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 74c | 4,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Giants | 27c | 3,994$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.05 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Giants | 28c | 3,925$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.43 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Giants | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…8c03backed Giants | 27c | 3,673$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Chiefs | 74c | 3,530$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…5154backed Chiefs | 73c | 3,407$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Chiefs | 78c | 3,300$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Giants | 25c | 3,075$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.02 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Giants | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Giants | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,966$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,930$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.87 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 24c | 2,888$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Giants | 28c | 2,534$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Giants | 27c | 2,533$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Giants | 21c | 2,527$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Giants | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,402$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Giants | 27c | 2,371$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.67 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Giants | 25c | 2,367$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giants | 18c | 2,325$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,300$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.82 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 27c | 2,300$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Chiefs | 74c | 2,236$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2252backed Giants | 26c | 2,106$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Giantsthis page
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 51.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 55.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 57.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: KC (-10.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-4.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-6.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-7.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-8.5)KC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.