NFL · resolved market
Spread: KC (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a1111bc8b56a6b86c730f9f3fb73fe0745d7eb33203096570b9802745bac11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KCof KC, NYG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $682,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked KC | 48c | 412,041$197,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,564.91 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked NYG | 52c | 376,862$196,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,608.22 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked NYG | 53c | 49,722$26,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,352.89 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed NYG | 52c | 29,040$15,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100.68 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed NYG | 52c | 26,031$13,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,536.25 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…2003backed KC | 48c | 26,031$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,536.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed KC | 47c | 20,376$9,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.38 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked KC | 48c | 19,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,880 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed KC | 47c | 17,794$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,341.77 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed KC | 48c | 13,342$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed NYG | 52c | 12,904$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed KC | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed NYG | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NYG | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.81 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed KC | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KC | 49c | 6,666$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.66 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed KC | 49c | 4,745$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.9 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed NYG | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked NYG | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed NYG | 51c | 2,680$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked NYG | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed NYG | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed KC | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked KC | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked NYG | 52c | 2,072$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.38 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed NYG | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed NYG | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed KC | 63c | 1,840$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.7 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked NYG | 51c | 1,336$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.36 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed KC | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed KC | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked NYG | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed KC | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked NYG | 53c | 923$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.19 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed KC | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed NYG | 53c | 699.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed NYG | 50c | 665.25$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed KC | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed KC | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked NYG | 52c | 591.68$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.67 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed KC | 47c | 590$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed NYG | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed NYG | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked KC | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…6a50backed KC | 48c | 464.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked KC | 68c | 442.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…6e6dbacked KC | 48c | 434.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed KC | 50c | 400.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked KC | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked KC | 49c | 392.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked NYG | 53c | 389.81$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed NYG | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed NYG | 52c | 372.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed NYG | 53c | 349.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed KC | 56c | 328.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…4386backed NYG | 59c | 317.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed NYG | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed KC | 48c | 250.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed NYG | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed NYG | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed NYG | 38c | 238.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed KC | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…d826backed KC | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed KC | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ff91backed KC | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked KC | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ed9abacked KC | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed NYG | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed NYG | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed KC | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed KC | 47c | 137.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked KC | 47c | 131.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked KC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed NYG | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed NYG | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…fba4backed NYG | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KC | 48c | 96.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed KC | 46c | 93.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e8…ad4bbacked NYG | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked NYG | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…5ff1backed KC | 75c | 72.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked NYG | 56c | 70.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed NYG | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…6a93backed KC | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…1f49backed KC | 52c | 57.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed KC | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed KC | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked KC | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed KC | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed KC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…042fbacked KC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…9da7backed KC | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…1579backed KC | 63c | 37.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed NYG | 52c | 32.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed KC | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed NYG | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked KC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed KC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked KC | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KC (-6.5)this page
- Chiefs vs. GiantsChiefs won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 51.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 55.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 57.5Under won
- KC vs. NYG: O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: KC (-10.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-4.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-7.5)KC won
- Spread: KC (-8.5)KC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.