NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab669c074f8f790546d99e92a5864b14f46d98de451f35e26ea63c0089a7173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Texans, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,698,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,943,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,698,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Texans | 48c | 855,664$413,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413,095.92 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jaguars | 52c | 342,881$177,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,016.55 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Jaguars | 53c | 188,617$99,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,650.14 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Jaguars | 51c | 102,000$52,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,980 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Jaguars | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texans | 47c | 75,954$35,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,498.27 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Jaguars | 53c | 70,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Texans | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 40c | 57,012$23,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,021.91 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jaguars | 50c | 49,776$25,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,748.53 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Texans | 48c | 41,442$19,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,892.15 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Jaguars | 53c | 35,971$19,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,906.27 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jaguars | 52c | 32,000$16,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,360 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 56c | 28,773$16,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,770.08 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jaguars | 53c | 27,018$14,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,689.03 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Jaguars | 52c | 25,833$13,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,524.84 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Jaguars | 52c | 21,100$10,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,128 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jaguars | 52c | 20,833$10,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Jaguars | 78c | 20,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 53c | 18,418$9,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,656.46 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 69c | 15,795$10,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.26 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Jaguars | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 53c | 13,922$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,543.39 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 29c | 13,449$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.61 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 47c | 11,399$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.99 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Texans | 50c | 10,038$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jaguars | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jaguars | 53c | 9,689$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.73 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Texans | 47c | 9,639$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.12 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jaguars | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Texans | 40c | 8,856$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Jaguars | 61c | 8,688$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texans | 36c | 8,184$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.16 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Jaguars | 53c | 8,157$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jaguars | 51c | 8,085$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.21 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Texans | 62c | 6,637$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.58 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Jaguars | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Jaguars | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Texans | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Jaguars | 62c | 5,924$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Texans | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Texans | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jaguars | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars | 52c | 4,739$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.54 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jaguars | 52c | 4,426$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.43 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texans | 33c | 4,284$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.02 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Jaguars | 54c | 4,222$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.12 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Texans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Jaguars | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Jaguars | 52c | 3,856$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.69 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texans | 23c | 3,736$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.48 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaguars | 58c | 3,266$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.29 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 3,030$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.03 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Texans | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Texans | 44c | 2,819$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Texans | 28c | 2,695$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,602$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Texans | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jaguars | 67c | 2,570$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.35 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Jaguars | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.96 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,419$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.86 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jaguars | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.97 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Jaguars | 67c | 2,269$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.24 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Jaguars | 55c | 2,129$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Texans | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Texans | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Texans | 57c | 2,017$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Texans | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 52c | 2,000$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.33 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars | 63c | 1,963$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.62 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…6d0dbacked Texans | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Jaguars | 53c | 1,860$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Jaguars | 51c | 1,857$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jaguars | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jaguars | 53c | 1,686$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.4 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Jaguars | 73c | 1,522$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jaguars | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Jaguars | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texans | 1c | 1,489$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Texans | 36c | 1,453$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.89 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Texans | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Texans | 49c | 1,260$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Texans | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,107$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Texans | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jaguars | 53c | 1,036$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.01 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texans | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Texans | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Texans | 47c | 958$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.26 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Texans | 47c | 950$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Texans | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Jaguars | 62c | 886.17$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Texans | 29c | 864.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Texans | 46c | 845.17$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.43 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Jaguars | 60c | 805$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Texans | 48c | 805$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Jaguars | 55c | 733.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.91 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Jaguars | 49c | 680.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Jaguarsthis page
- Spread: JAX (-1.5)JAX won
- Spread: JAX (-2.5)JAX won
- Spread: JAX (-3.5)JAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.