NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaeed5f2c31695be7bfbed65abe9b1e1abd30090b0837fc4dc1f238c41c99c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,635,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,699,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,635,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chiefs | 49c | 311,099$151,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,638.43 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked Chiefs | 49c | 223,693$109,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,322.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Eagles | 52c | 105,000$54,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,400 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Eagles | 51c | 84,352$42,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,640.09 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Eagles | 51c | 81,090$41,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,734.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Eagles | 51c | 81,000$41,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,690 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Eagles | 63c | 70,000$43,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,213.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eagles | 51c | 69,697$35,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,044.36 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Chiefs | 31c | 69,579$21,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,886.54 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Eagles | 70c | 65,915$46,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,488.96 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Eagles | 51c | 57,099$29,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,857.78 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chiefs | 48c | 54,352$25,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,826.73 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Chiefs | 48c | 54,099$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Eagles | 52c | 46,778$24,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,453.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eagles | 51c | 40,646$20,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,914.04 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Chiefs | 52c | 37,230$19,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,253.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chiefs | 46c | 31,090$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,308.1 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chiefs | 46c | 28,898$13,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,377.74 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Chiefs | 43c | 28,429$12,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.77 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eagles | 62c | 26,973$16,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.09 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Eagles | 59c | 22,825$13,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,405.48 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Eagles | 52c | 22,746$11,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,890.48 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Chiefs | 39c | 20,826$8,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,095.5 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Chiefs | 0c | 18,749$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Eagles | 49c | 17,375$8,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,894.5 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Chiefs | 10c | 16,984$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Eagles | 68c | 15,633$10,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.43 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Eagles | 52c | 14,100$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.17 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Eagles | 50c | 13,771$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Eagles | 62c | 13,579$8,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.37 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Chiefs | 55c | 10,500$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Chiefs | 57c | 10,408$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.82 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Chiefs | 54c | 10,380$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Chiefs | 59c | 10,000$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.35 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles | 64c | 8,461$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.13 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Eagles | 49c | 8,270$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Eagles | 52c | 7,762$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.51 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Chiefs | 38c | 7,389$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.92 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…63afbacked Chiefs | 5c | 6,795$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Chiefs | 38c | 6,310$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.19 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…e529backed Chiefs | 56c | 6,200$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Eagles | 51c | 6,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Eagles | 52c | 5,230$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.2 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chiefs | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.94 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eagles | 74c | 5,161$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.99 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Eagles | 51c | 5,150$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Eagles | 64c | 5,118$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.46 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…fb6bbacked Eagles | 54c | 5,095$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Chiefs | 10c | 5,032$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Chiefs | 38c | 4,794$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.66 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Chiefs | 55c | 4,543$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eagles | 51c | 4,327$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.1 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Eagles | 56c | 4,222$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles | 51c | 4,111$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.38 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Eagles | 51c | 4,096$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Eagles | 51c | 4,018$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.91 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Eagles | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Chiefs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eagles | 66c | 3,910$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.89 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Eagles | 72c | 3,894$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.65 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Chiefs | 48c | 3,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eagles | 50c | 3,421$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.97 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Chiefs | 50c | 3,302$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Eagles | 51c | 3,150$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Eagles | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiefs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chiefs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Eagles | 60c | 2,837$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Eagles | 47c | 2,802$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Eagles | 76c | 2,681$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.33 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Chiefs | 31c | 2,637$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Eagles | 63c | 2,510$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Eagles | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Eagles | 43c | 2,480$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Eagles | 52c | 2,375$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.44 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Chiefs | 48c | 2,369$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.22 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Chiefs | 49c | 2,119$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Eagles | 51c | 2,085$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.4 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chiefs | 48c | 2,070$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.42 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Eagles | 51c | 2,060$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chiefs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Eagles | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Eagles | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Eagles | 59c | 1,927$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.23 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Eagles | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…5e32backed Eagles | 71c | 1,810$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Eagles | 52c | 1,809$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.61 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Eagles | 56c | 1,775$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Eagles | 52c | 1,713$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Eagles | 52c | 1,686$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.36 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Chiefs | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.02 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.67 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Eagles | 52c | 1,577$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.35 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Eagles | 52c | 1,550$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.5 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Chiefs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Eagles | 52c | 1,484$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.34 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Eagles | 65c | 1,422$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.98 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Eagles | 52c | 1,413$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Eagles | 52c | 1,383$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Chiefsthis page
- Eagles vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.