NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67d4d1617ea938691ef2bf24d45aa0fc861545d5b74fb703f2e28bcaf138752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Lakers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 79,400$29,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,370.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 53c | 68,995$36,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,639.14 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 44,675$18,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,685.58 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lakers | 57c | 44,415$25,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,446.09 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 64c | 43,879$28,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,082.28 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Lakers | 63c | 35,162$22,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,152.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 56c | 30,768$17,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,306.91 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 49c | 29,682$14,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,418.73 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 43c | 28,787$12,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,509.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 28,655$11,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,738.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 24,068$10,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,521.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 21,767$11,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,472.97 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Timberwolves | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 17,959$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.24 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Lakers | 36c | 17,500$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 41c | 15,954$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,396.35 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Lakers | 26c | 15,820$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.62 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Lakers | 42c | 11,877$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,953.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb958…c9b2backed Lakers | 55c | 11,157$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lakers | 64c | 11,111$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,111.04 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…56f4backed Lakers | 55c | 10,875$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Lakers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Timberwolves | 36c | 8,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…2464backed Lakers | 55c | 7,869$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…3179backed Lakers | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 65c | 6,500$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcd…28babacked Lakers | 55c | 6,313$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 6,120$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.86 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,872$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.24 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…96eabacked Lakers | 37c | 5,136$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 17c | 4,902$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.33 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…4d3cbacked Lakers | 61c | 4,690$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 44c | 3,892$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.89 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…b705backed Lakers | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,715$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.66 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…9adabacked Lakers | 64c | 3,588$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lakers | 53c | 3,480$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,263$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Lakers | 54c | 3,150$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.62 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Lakers | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Lakers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 34c | 2,861$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.73 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Lakers | 38c | 2,702$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,546$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.56 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…e5a1backed Lakers | 64c | 2,337$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,299$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.34 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…f7f5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,237$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…6cd3backed Lakers | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Lakers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Lakers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…b579backed Lakers | 63c | 1,982$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Lakers | 28c | 1,550$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…da2dbacked Lakers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Lakers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,334$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,290$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.34 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…3c42backed Lakers | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 1,222$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lakers | 45c | 1,191$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.42 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,189$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…33debacked Lakers | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,100$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 42c | 1,044$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.05 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…84e4backed Lakers | 54c | 1,001$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Lakers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Lakers | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Lakers | 37c | 989.8$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.49 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…6faebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 940.19$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…2ce3backed Lakers | 63c | 869.25$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Lakers | 66c | 840.91$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Lakers | 49c | 825.67$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Lakers | 19c | 806$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 800.02$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Timberwolves | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Lakers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…169fbacked Lakers | 64c | 786$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Lakers | 58c | 750.48$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.42 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 58c | 743.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.65 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Timberwolves | 58c | 700.26$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…a524backed Lakers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…b05abacked Lakers | 63c | 632.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…0ab0backed Lakers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Lakers | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…b3bcbacked Lakers | 62c | 574.37$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Timberwolves | 55c | 535.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…f46fbacked Lakers | 31c | 527.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Timberwolves | 49c | 504.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Timberwolves | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.