NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c64454e3ee3bd190cdd3b4f32fee1b14843a4966bda72eebd22ba0a23d5639f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $780,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $791,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Under | 49c | 399,750$195,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,877.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 51c | 229,506$117,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,457.83 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 51c | 150,000$76,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,200 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 144,693$74,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,209.99 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Over | 52c | 90,000$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,199.99 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 84,660$40,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,636.89 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.97 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 48c | 32,000$15,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,360 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 52c | 18,139$9,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,706.87 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 17,581$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Under | 51c | 15,681$7,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.03 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 15,357$7,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.69 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 49c | 14,522$7,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,115.68 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Under | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Under | 49c | 9,001$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.45 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,620$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.27 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 4,725$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.7 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 48c | 4,717$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Under | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.8 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,332$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.66 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 47c | 2,202$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.06 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,196$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.59 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 50c | 2,125$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.98 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.84 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 1,614$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.72 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 50c | 1,554$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 47c | 1,551$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.17 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,453$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.26 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 52c | 1,328$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 48c | 1,289$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.86 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Under | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 52c | 976.92$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.92 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 20c | 717.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Under | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Over | 49c | 513.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…1259backed Under | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 52c | 435.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 425.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Over | 52c | 415.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Under | 49c | 404.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 374.91$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 50c | 372$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Over | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f13ebacked Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3b6ebacked Over | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…ee48backed Over | 51c | 330$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…089abacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 52c | 282$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 250.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Over | 51c | 235.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Under | 48c | 221.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…0f15backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 217.86$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 216.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Over | 51c | 214$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5this page
- 1H Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Chiefs vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.