UFC · resolved market
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9b64eb6bf68ea2cd5e20da0d0339a8d5ff6a3c3c84209c2b0fb1661cf939e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dvalishviliof Dvalishvili, O'Malley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,698,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,552,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,698,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0834…2a7ebacked Dvalishvili | 72c | 696,685$498,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,415.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed O'Malley | 28c | 227,489$63,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,696.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed O'Malley | 29c | 194,986$55,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,676.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed O'Malley | 30c | 130,210$39,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,157.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked O'Malley | 29c | 120,122$34,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,734.65 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed O'Malley | 29c | 115,000$33,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,639.21 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 47,042$32,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,336.18 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed O'Malley | 29c | 44,491$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed O'Malley | 32c | 38,648$12,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,485 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Dvalishvili | 72c | 38,631$27,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked O'Malley | 28c | 37,156$10,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.81 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…f52abacked Dvalishvili | 72c | 35,461$25,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,028.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed O'Malley | 32c | 31,434$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked O'Malley | 29c | 30,000$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.96 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 28,405$20,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.32 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed O'Malley | 29c | 27,859$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…c5fcbacked O'Malley | 28c | 27,724$7,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked O'Malley | 28c | 27,313$7,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,647.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked O'Malley | 30c | 25,062$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked O'Malley | 28c | 24,384$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked O'Malley | 29c | 21,142$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked O'Malley | 28c | 21,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed O'Malley | 27c | 15,130$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.82 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 14,200$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed O'Malley | 30c | 13,859$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 13,590$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.04 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked O'Malley | 24c | 11,979$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.37 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed O'Malley | 28c | 11,390$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed O'Malley | 25c | 10,756$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.67 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed O'Malley | 29c | 9,750$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dvalishvili | 70c | 9,448$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed O'Malley | 28c | 9,423$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 8,070$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked O'Malley | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 7,028$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed O'Malley | 29c | 6,819$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.98 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…d1e6backed O'Malley | 29c | 6,699$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dvalishvili | 69c | 6,687$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed O'Malley | 28c | 6,631$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.6 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 6,383$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.08 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed O'Malley | 23c | 6,032$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Dvalishvili | 67c | 6,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed O'Malley | 30c | 5,994$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 5,961$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed O'Malley | 26c | 5,928$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.22 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked O'Malley | 25c | 5,579$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.25 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed O'Malley | 28c | 5,231$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed O'Malley | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 4,957$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Dvalishvili | 69c | 4,947$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…6674backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 4,511$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Dvalishvili | 69c | 4,451$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Dvalishvili | 69c | 4,346$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…8746backed O'Malley | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed O'Malley | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…7a75backed O'Malley | 33c | 3,976$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 3,838$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed O'Malley | 28c | 3,525$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed O'Malley | 29c | 3,414$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed O'Malley | 17c | 3,334$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.76 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…afc7backed O'Malley | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…2965backed O'Malley | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed O'Malley | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…6357backed O'Malley | 30c | 3,119$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Dvalishvili | 66c | 3,050$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked O'Malley | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed O'Malley | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed O'Malley | 31c | 2,707$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed O'Malley | 29c | 2,614$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked O'Malley | 30c | 2,529$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked O'Malley | 30c | 2,472$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Dvalishvili | 69c | 2,450$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.09 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…9629backed O'Malley | 29c | 2,445$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 2,304$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed O'Malley | 7c | 2,280$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Dvalishvili | 74c | 2,175$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.63 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked O'Malley | 30c | 2,016$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed O'Malley | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed O'Malley | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked O'Malley | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dvalishvili | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Dvalishvili | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 1,902$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked O'Malley | 29c | 1,890$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Dvalishvili | 72c | 1,790$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 1,699$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked O'Malley | 3c | 1,663$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Dvalishvili | 70c | 1,658$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.14 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked O'Malley | 30c | 1,649$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,605$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.14 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked O'Malley | 28c | 1,529$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Dvalishvili | 72c | 1,528$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.91 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked O'Malley | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked O'Malley | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed O'Malley | 22c | 1,480$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dvalishvili | 71c | 1,370$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Dvalishvili | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleythis page
- Bautista vs. MixBautista won
- Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
- Luque vs. HollandHolland won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.