UFC · resolved market

Pena vs. Harrison

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5485c0376e526420b5eef526251cadfff3329ee854a77f444ddd8eb6b61e87fd

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Harrisonof Pena, Harrison
Resolved: Jun 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $277,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $330,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Pena	17c	52,968$8,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,920.88	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pena	16c	29,987$4,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,698.01	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pena	17c	16,935$2,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.01	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Pena	15c	10,000$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.16	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pena	16c	8,080$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbd…6355backed Pena	24c	6,176$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pena	16c	6,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Pena	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pena	15c	4,745$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.57	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Pena	19c	3,684$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Harrison	80c	3,550$2,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.59	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Pena	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Pena	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Pena	7c	2,632$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.86	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pena	15c	2,157$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.48	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Pena	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Pena	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7429…f2c2backed Pena	26c	1,427$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Pena	17c	1,300$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Pena	17c	1,282$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.86	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pena	15c	1,250$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.44	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Pena	16c	1,039$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.08	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Pena	16c	1,029$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.22	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Pena	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pena	16c	1,000$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.62	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pena	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Pena	11c	1,000$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617d…fd9fbacked Pena	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Pena	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Pena	14c	926.49$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.76	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Pena	16c	903.94$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.63	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Pena	16c	895$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.2	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Pena	10c	834.11$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.73	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pena	12c	773.89$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.78	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Pena	15c	750$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Pena	18c	730$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.4	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Pena	16c	719.81$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Pena	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Pena	17c	664.58$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.31	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Pena	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa745…8dcdbacked Pena	17c	602.65$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad79…7abbbacked Pena	16c	600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Pena	11c	594.12$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa23…ada8backed Pena	17c	587.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Pena	16c	554.85$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pena	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Pena	17c	499.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f3…613cbacked Pena	15c	499.97$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Pena	17c	495.9$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.84	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pena	17c	394.74$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01f1…276cbacked Pena	19c	315.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x053b…fc9dbacked Pena	16c	305.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa8…f84abacked Pena	9c	305$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a2…e144backed Pena	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e2…cc43backed Pena	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c88…5685backed Pena	14c	281.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Pena	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Pena	16c	229.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pena	17c	224$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0581…ea5bbacked Pena	17c	215.67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Pena	17c	211.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Pena	18c	200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Pena	17c	199.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Pena	16c	181.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.28per pick	55cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02cf…36bdbacked Pena	18c	177.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Pena	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd313…a320backed Pena	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Pena	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Pena	17c	174.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Pena	16c	173.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…214ebacked Pena	16c	162.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Pena	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Pena	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…8689backed Pena	15c	136$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea0…9f7abacked Pena	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…abb3backed Pena	17c	130.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.12	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Pena	17c	130$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…dc1abacked Pena	12c	130$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c56…8474backed Pena	15c	130$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…a744backed Pena	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…d30abacked Pena	16c	124.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Pena	17c	123.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c4…429bbacked Pena	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.3wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x49a9…c831backed Pena	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Pena	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8f…f390backed Pena	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Pena	16c	110$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	104	39.4%41 W · 63 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7a…13abbacked Pena	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Pena	19c	103.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc67d…d885backed Pena	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Pena	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3687…a0a6backed Pena	14c	99.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Pena	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…edd0backed Pena	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-55%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Pena	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Pena	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…98f8backed Pena	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Pena	19c	80.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Pena	16c	80$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf505…0999backed Pena	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pena vs. Harrisonthis page
Bautista vs. MixBautista won
Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
Luque vs. HollandHolland won
Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
Silva vs. VanVan won
Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
da Silva vs. CongCong won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pena vs. Harrison

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event