TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Gastelum vs. Pyfer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pyferof Gastelum, Pyfer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8806…6a9bbacked Pyfer75c19,877$14,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Gastelum25c18,522$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.792343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2811…d442backed Gastelum25c16,023$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481a…d1e6backed Gastelum1c14,442$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Gastelum24c12,530$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.522259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Gastelum23c9,699$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.671428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Pyfer76c8,716$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.176050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pyfer75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Gastelum22c7,522$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.9935253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pyfer77c6,447$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.7524356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Gastelum11c5,506$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5714129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Gastelum4c4,625$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pyfer74c4,192$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.484067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Gastelum25c4,025$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.2535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Pyfer77c3,877$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.52988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick75cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Gastelum22c2,755$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.16829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pyfer76c2,694$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.218453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…7b99backed Pyfer78c2,594$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.66862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Gastelum22c2,462$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0319531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pyfer78c2,302$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3617158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pyfer76c2,155$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8521044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pyfer77c2,082$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Gastelum24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Gastelum4c1,577$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7611540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Gastelum23c1,369$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7910447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Gastelum5c1,344$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.921012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Pyfer75c1,332$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3336943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Pyfer76c1,310$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Pyfer78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0516951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c4…a48bbacked Pyfer75c1,250$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Pyfer73c1,136$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.26547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Pyfer77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Pyfer78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22012159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Gastelum15c962.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14051533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Pyfer77c882.08$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.883246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Gastelum23c849.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.58348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pyfer75c848.31$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3414751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Gastelum24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Pyfer76c729.67$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.122646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Gastelum19c681.76$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.06120%0 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gastelum5c641.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3321031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pyfer76c591.12$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8724862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Gastelum19c550.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.985632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pyfer74c541.23$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd313…a320backed Gastelum8c507.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Gastelum25c503.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.94156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Gastelum25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Pyfer76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12048749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Gastelum23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Gastelum10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pyfer75c435$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.756552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Gastelum22c412.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.22548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Gastelum25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Pyfer77c354.83$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.619950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pyfer76c336$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6413953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Pyfer75c333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2510452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Pyfer61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8711942.9%51 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pyfer77c308$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.843661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Gastelum24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa745…8dcdbacked Gastelum12c288.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Gastelum19c286$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4814929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Gastelum8c262.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Pyfer79c253.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.815100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Gastelum23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Pyfer77c222.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.224153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Gastelum25c221$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4213039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Pyfer78c218$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.969062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Gastelum24c205$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Gastelum24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Pyfer74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a2…e144backed Gastelum24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4860%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Gastelum25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Gastelum23c199$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.787921.5%17 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Gastelum30c166.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x375c…8c1fbacked Gastelum25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Gastelum26c151.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2827743%119 W · 158 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pyfer76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Gastelum26c145$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73540%14 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01f1…276cbacked Gastelum28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Pyfer74c139.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.48256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Pyfer76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2516…f107backed Pyfer78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pyfer78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2111138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Pyfer76c128$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4452052.9%275 W · 245 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Gastelum25c118.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e13…d054backed Gastelum20c115.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pyfer75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.556450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Gastelum24c106.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.528036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pyfer74c106.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2714355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Pyfer76c105.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.897960.8%48 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Pyfer76c105$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Pyfer76c103.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gastelum14c103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.029336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Gastelum25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Gastelum25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Gastelum21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Gastelum26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Pyfer77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb49d…fdefbacked Pyfer76c99.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Gastelum25c97.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.