UFC · resolved market
Gastelum vs. Pyfer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69ac9af08ef2610b69e38f1cfaf0f0415dff51e4e3408fb3ccbaa9033d3c2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pyferof Gastelum, Pyfer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Pyfer | 75c | 19,877$14,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Gastelum | 25c | 18,522$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed Gastelum | 25c | 16,023$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…d1e6backed Gastelum | 1c | 14,442$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Gastelum | 24c | 12,530$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.5 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Gastelum | 23c | 9,699$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pyfer | 76c | 8,716$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.17 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pyfer | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gastelum | 22c | 7,522$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pyfer | 77c | 6,447$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.75 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Gastelum | 11c | 5,506$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.57 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Gastelum | 4c | 4,625$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pyfer | 74c | 4,192$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Gastelum | 25c | 4,025$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.25 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Pyfer | 77c | 3,877$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Gastelum | 22c | 2,755$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.1 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pyfer | 76c | 2,694$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.2 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Pyfer | 78c | 2,594$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Gastelum | 22c | 2,462$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pyfer | 78c | 2,302$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.36 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pyfer | 76c | 2,155$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pyfer | 77c | 2,082$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Gastelum | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Gastelum | 4c | 1,577$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Gastelum | 23c | 1,369$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.79 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Gastelum | 5c | 1,344$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pyfer | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pyfer | 76c | 1,310$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Pyfer | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked Pyfer | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Pyfer | 73c | 1,136$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Pyfer | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Pyfer | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Gastelum | 15c | 962.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Pyfer | 77c | 882.08$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Gastelum | 23c | 849.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pyfer | 75c | 848.31$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Gastelum | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Pyfer | 76c | 729.67$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Gastelum | 19c | 681.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gastelum | 5c | 641.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pyfer | 76c | 591.12$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Gastelum | 19c | 550.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pyfer | 74c | 541.23$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…a320backed Gastelum | 8c | 507.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Gastelum | 25c | 503.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Gastelum | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Pyfer | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Gastelum | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Gastelum | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pyfer | 75c | 435$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Gastelum | 22c | 412.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Gastelum | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Pyfer | 77c | 354.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pyfer | 76c | 336$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Pyfer | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Pyfer | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pyfer | 77c | 308$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Gastelum | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…8dcdbacked Gastelum | 12c | 288.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Gastelum | 19c | 286$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Gastelum | 8c | 262.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Pyfer | 79c | 253.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Gastelum | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Pyfer | 77c | 222.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Gastelum | 25c | 221$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Pyfer | 78c | 218$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Gastelum | 24c | 205$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Gastelum | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Pyfer | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…e144backed Gastelum | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Gastelum | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Gastelum | 23c | 199$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Gastelum | 30c | 166.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375c…8c1fbacked Gastelum | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Gastelum | 26c | 151.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pyfer | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Gastelum | 26c | 145$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…276cbacked Gastelum | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Pyfer | 74c | 139.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Pyfer | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Pyfer | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pyfer | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Pyfer | 76c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Gastelum | 25c | 118.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…d054backed Gastelum | 20c | 115.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pyfer | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Gastelum | 24c | 106.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pyfer | 74c | 106.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Pyfer | 76c | 105.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Pyfer | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pyfer | 76c | 103.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gastelum | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Gastelum | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Gastelum | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Gastelum | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Gastelum | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Pyfer | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…fdefbacked Pyfer | 76c | 99.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Gastelum | 25c | 97.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gastelum vs. Pyferthis page
- Bautista vs. MixBautista won
- Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
- Luque vs. HollandHolland won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.