UFC · resolved market

Williams vs. Gustafsson

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c9c24fb021eacc2aca4fc6c8d9ed0dfa83fd9c31963378f769475f0351a10a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gustafssonof Williams, Gustafsson
Resolved: Jun 7, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $112,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc653…5762backed Gustafsson	46c	31,142$14,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,816.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04be…a60bbacked Williams	54c	31,142$16,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,816.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Gustafsson	52c	8,167$4,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,879.79	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Williams	50c	5,303$2,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.51	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Williams	0c	3,028$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Gustafsson	38c	2,991$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.46	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Gustafsson	41c	2,420$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.67	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Williams	63c	2,381$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Gustafsson	46c	2,169$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.54	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Williams	52c	1,699$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.24	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Williams	62c	1,500$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Gustafsson	34c	1,431$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.4	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Williams	66c	1,349$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.54	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4343…3be2backed Williams	5c	1,177$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Williams	42c	1,165$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.47	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gustafsson	34c	1,133$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.54	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481a…d1e6backed Williams	31c	1,072$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.47	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…9fe4backed Gustafsson	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…033cbacked Gustafsson	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Williams	57c	945.61$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Williams	61c	844.1$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.9	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c3…84b0backed Williams	61c	790$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Williams	62c	750$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Williams	62c	725.81$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Williams	63c	709.93$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.26	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf3…07d9backed Williams	61c	645$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Williams	66c	608.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Gustafsson	60c	567.97$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.64	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Williams	62c	551$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.62	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Gustafsson	53c	538.85$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.26	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Gustafsson	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Williams	61c	500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Williams	66c	500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Gustafsson	38c	499.99$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.99	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Williams	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…8de3backed Williams	62c	478.26$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Gustafsson	38c	400$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.05	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Williams	65c	396.74$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.88	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Gustafsson	37c	378.13$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.13	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e18…3bc2backed Williams	61c	355$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Williams	5c	338.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Williams	66c	300$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.9	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Williams	64c	300$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Williams	60c	249$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.55	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Williams	50c	214.2$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.97	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf88…c6f6backed Williams	61c	210$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Williams	32c	200$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.2	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Williams	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Williams	66c	189.7$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Williams	50c	185$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Williams	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Williams	62c	153$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.86	90	62.2%56 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Gustafsson	35c	140$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Williams	64c	133$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.78	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Williams	60c	130$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Gustafsson	36c	128.71$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.37	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Gustafsson	35c	125.23$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.4	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Williams	63c	119.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Gustafsson	37c	111.62$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.32	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Gustafsson	39c	102.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Gustafsson	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Williams	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Williams	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Gustafsson	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e2…cc43backed Williams	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Williams	61c	99.98$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.99	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Williams	64c	97.37$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.63	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Williams	63c	95.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Williams	64c	90$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.45	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Gustafsson	39c	89.74$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.74	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Gustafsson	60c	85$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Gustafsson	35c	83$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Gustafsson	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed Gustafsson	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gustafsson	36c	66$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.24	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10c4…429bbacked Gustafsson	39c	63.59$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.79	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.3wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Williams	56c	61.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Williams	66c	52.85$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Williams	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Gustafsson	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Williams	65c	45.15$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.35	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6f…6434backed Gustafsson	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x473b…8d8ebacked Williams	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be1…be84backed Gustafsson	38c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed Williams	62c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be9…8dcfbacked Williams	62c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Gustafsson	39c	39.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.97	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7a…13abbacked Gustafsson	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4719…7067backed Gustafsson	41c	35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…db5ebacked Williams	59c	35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Williams	40c	32.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71e1…c440backed Williams	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc063…99cfbacked Williams	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-5.7wins	-0.20per pick	61cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Williams	60c	31.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked Gustafsson	35c	31.37$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Williams	68c	31.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.26	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd4…f147backed Gustafsson	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f72…7425backed Williams	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4681…6071backed Williams	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b0…0454backed Williams	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Williams vs. Gustafssonthis page
Bautista vs. MixBautista won
Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
Luque vs. HollandHolland won
Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
Silva vs. VanVan won
Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
da Silva vs. CongCong won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Williams vs. Gustafsson

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event