UFC · resolved market
Saragih vs. Sang Yoo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62dffec302c2270af1ef3b8c8f110faac09214737556d1a4bfa2120d4859bec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sang Yooof Saragih, Sang Yoo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Saragih | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Saragih | 19c | 4,061$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.26 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saragih | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Saragih | 19c | 2,625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Saragih | 17c | 1,103$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Saragih | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Saragih | 15c | 985.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Saragih | 18c | 716$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Saragih | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Saragih | 21c | 427.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Saragih | 14c | 364.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Saragih | 20c | 277.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…e144backed Saragih | 20c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Saragih | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Saragih | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sang Yoo | 78c | 181.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sang Yoo | 80c | 122$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…0997backed Saragih | 20c | 121.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Saragih | 18c | 110.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Saragih | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Saragih | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sang Yoo | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Saragih | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saragih | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…018ebacked Saragih | 19c | 64.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…8cffbacked Saragih | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sang Yoo | 78c | 50.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…b21ebacked Saragih | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…b148backed Saragih | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7c47backed Sang Yoo | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…3948backed Sang Yoo | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sang Yoo | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saragih vs. Sang Yoothis page
- Bautista vs. MixBautista won
- Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
- Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
- Luque vs. HollandHolland won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.