UFC · resolved market
Luque vs. Holland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3653a6eab6f45a797313a6e8b348fe462926604c78ff15057805f76ab76290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holland of Luque, Holland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0834…2a7ebacked Luque | 38c | 130,034$49,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,955 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Holland | 63c | 49,570$31,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,436.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Luque | 37c | 42,076$15,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,494.21 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Holland | 61c | 37,891$23,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,876.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Holland | 62c | 31,787$19,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004.31 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Holland | 64c | 25,270$16,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,002.6 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Luque | 36c | 24,723$8,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Holland | 61c | 24,683$15,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,564.3 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Holland | 62c | 20,000$12,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Luque | 37c | 11,000$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Luque | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbd…6355backed Holland | 64c | 8,926$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Holland | 64c | 8,348$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Luque | 36c | 8,298$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Holland | 63c | 6,854$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Holland | 62c | 6,281$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Holland | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.56 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Holland | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Holland | 66c | 4,276$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.96 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Holland | 63c | 3,515$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.08 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Luque | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Luque | 39c | 3,386$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Holland | 68c | 3,290$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.68 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Luque | 32c | 3,124$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Holland | 69c | 3,110$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Luque | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Luque | 38c | 2,606$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Holland | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Holland | 63c | 2,237$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.56 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Holland | 64c | 1,630$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Holland | 61c | 1,484$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.86 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Luque | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Holland | 63c | 1,240$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Luque | 32c | 1,170$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.23 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Luque | 36c | 1,166$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.37 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Holland | 64c | 1,095$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Holland | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.24 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Luque | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Holland | 68c | 944$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Holland | 63c | 707.44$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Luque | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Luque | 22c | 650$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Luque | 2c | 630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked Holland | 64c | 609.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Holland | 63c | 600$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Luque | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…ecaebacked Luque | 38c | 578.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Luque | 32c | 551.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Luque | 39c | 550$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Luque | 37c | 550$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Holland | 64c | 530$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Luque | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Luque | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Holland | 62c | 486.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Luque | 34c | 455.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Holland | 66c | 450$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Luque | 39c | 449.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Luque | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Holland | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Luque | 35c | 394.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Luque | 22c | 328.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Holland | 67c | 324.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Holland | 62c | 322$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Holland | 65c | 303$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Holland | 65c | 290$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Luque | 39c | 285.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Holland | 71c | 281.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Holland | 68c | 259.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Luque | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Holland | 68c | 196$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Holland | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Holland | 64c | 175$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Luque | 37c | 164.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Luque | 31c | 159.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Holland | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Holland | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Luque | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Holland | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Luque | 24c | 139.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Luque | 39c | 136.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Luque | 34c | 135.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…f95ebacked Luque | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Luque | 18c | 129.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Luque | 33c | 127.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Holland | 64c | 125.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Holland | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Luque | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Luque | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Luque | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Holland | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Holland | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…26b0backed Luque | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Holland | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Holland | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Luque | 32c | 95.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…256fbacked Luque | 37c | 93.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Luque | 37c | 88.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Luque | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Luque | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Holland | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luque vs. Hollandthis page
- Bautista vs. MixBautista won
- Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
- Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.