UFC · resolved market
Spivac vs. Cortes-Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9392db1f6bfe4cf10e7241deb83f726048ee5fa2fddc502bda00aeb2c1b30fda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cortes-Acostaof Spivac, Cortes-Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x647d…5ce1backed Spivac | 53c | 31,405$16,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,644.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…ef4dbacked Cortes-Acosta | 47c | 31,405$14,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,644.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 17,678$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,795.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Cortes-Acosta | 38c | 16,257$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,142.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Spivac | 61c | 15,759$9,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,612.98 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…2a7ebacked Spivac | 62c | 15,740$9,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Cortes-Acosta | 47c | 14,277$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.37 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 12,199$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Spivac | 57c | 6,243$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Spivac | 61c | 2,939$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spivac | 59c | 2,452$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.08 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Cortes-Acosta | 41c | 2,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.33 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 2,333$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.27 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spivac | 55c | 1,230$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.03 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spivac | 60c | 1,193$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Cortes-Acosta | 52c | 1,160$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.58 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Spivac | 75c | 1,060$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.46 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Spivac | 63c | 1,044$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Spivac | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Spivac | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spivac | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Spivac | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Cortes-Acosta | 41c | 999.95$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Spivac | 60c | 972.46$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.03 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cortes-Acosta | 42c | 840.83$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Spivac | 62c | 796.94$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cortes-Acosta | 35c | 592.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.42 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Spivac | 61c | 570$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Spivac | 62c | 540.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.22 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cortes-Acosta | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Spivac | 62c | 461.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spivac | 50c | 460.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Spivac | 61c | 421.15$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Spivac | 54c | 410$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Spivac | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Cortes-Acosta | 45c | 371.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Spivac | 72c | 370.26$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 366.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…d1e6backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 340.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 269.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Spivac | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spivac | 59c | 231.71$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 230$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cortes-Acosta | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cortes-Acosta | 44c | 224.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Spivac | 55c | 219.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Spivac | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spivac | 54c | 200.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Spivac | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spivac | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 194.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 164.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Spivac | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Spivac | 28c | 153.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Spivac | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Cortes-Acosta | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Cortes-Acosta | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Cortes-Acosta | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Cortes-Acosta | 37c | 144.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Cortes-Acosta | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cortes-Acosta | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed Cortes-Acosta | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spivac | 57c | 112$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spivac | 54c | 110.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Spivac | 61c | 105.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…b09dbacked Spivac | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…cc43backed Cortes-Acosta | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spivac | 53c | 89.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Spivac | 63c | 87.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…c440backed Spivac | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Spivac | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Cortes-Acosta | 25c | 80.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 25c | 79.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Spivac | 57c | 75.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Cortes-Acosta | 22c | 71.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cortes-Acosta | 40c | 71.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Cortes-Acosta | 43c | 70.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…180cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Cortes-Acosta | 38c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Spivac | 63c | 62.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 61.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Cortes-Acosta | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Spivac | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Spivac | 55c | 58.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Spivac | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…77dfbacked Spivac | 61c | 51.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…793ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…eb0bbacked Spivac | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…48f6backed Cortes-Acosta | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3251…7ca1backed Spivac | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…eceebacked Cortes-Acosta | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…9d34backed Spivac | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…fb7ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…978cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spivac vs. Cortes-Acostathis page
- Bautista vs. MixBautista won
- Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
- Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
- Luque vs. HollandHolland won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.