UFC · resolved market
Bautista vs. Mix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0284882e67eaee84532fe841d3c8690a6a60948bf5a7dafdacca171da1c381e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bautistaof Bautista, Mix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…42f2backed Bautista | 40c | 35,587$14,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,352.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…49a9backed Mix | 60c | 35,587$21,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,352.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Bautista | 47c | 34,797$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,346.57 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mix | 59c | 30,161$17,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,842.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bautista | 38c | 29,579$11,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mix | 62c | 28,784$17,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,837.94 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bautista | 37c | 22,353$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,992.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bautista | 37c | 19,601$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,336.89 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Mix | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bautista | 38c | 8,151$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.36 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Bautista | 39c | 5,781$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Bautista | 36c | 5,161$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mix | 63c | 5,064$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.56 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mix | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bautista | 54c | 4,796$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.14 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Mix | 55c | 3,645$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mix | 13c | 3,285$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mix | 64c | 3,200$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mix | 62c | 2,523$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mix | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…76b1backed Mix | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Mix | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Mix | 29c | 1,927$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mix | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Bautista | 38c | 1,708$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.89 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Mix | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bautista | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Mix | 62c | 1,488$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.84 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mix | 23c | 1,301$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Mix | 62c | 1,281$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.96 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bautista | 50c | 1,151$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.61 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Bautista | 38c | 1,002$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.98 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Mix | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Mix | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mix | 28c | 989$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Mix | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mix | 62c | 850$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Bautista | 38c | 746.74$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mix | 63c | 719$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.97 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Mix | 62c | 665.98$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.91 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…9ff3backed Mix | 63c | 663.67$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Bautista | 38c | 646.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.57 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Mix | 62c | 643.32$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…a320backed Bautista | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Bautista | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Bautista | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Mix | 62c | 564.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Mix | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Mix | 63c | 516.39$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Mix | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Mix | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mix | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bautista | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Mix | 62c | 481.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mix | 59c | 437.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Mix | 60c | 415.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Mix | 62c | 401.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Bautista | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Bautista | 38c | 394$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…4a16backed Mix | 65c | 367.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Bautista | 38c | 363.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Mix | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Mix | 63c | 317.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Mix | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…276cbacked Mix | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Mix | 62c | 309.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mix | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mix | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Bautista | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Bautista | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mix | 62c | 299.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mix | 22c | 293.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Mix | 42c | 270.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mix | 63c | 270.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Mix | 62c | 259.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bautista | 78c | 256.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Bautista | 37c | 250$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mix | 61c | 222$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mix | 18c | 200.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Bautista | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Mix | 15c | 198.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…256fbacked Mix | 63c | 190.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…af0ebacked Mix | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Mix | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Mix | 61c | 170.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…bc3dbacked Mix | 61c | 170.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mix | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Mix | 61c | 161.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Mix | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mix | 63c | 146.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Mix | 61c | 142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…c96bbacked Mix | 62c | 128.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…a14ebacked Mix | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…f95ebacked Mix | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Mix | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Mix | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…33cbbacked Mix | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bautista | 38c | 103$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Bautista | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Bautista | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bautista vs. Mixthis page
- Dvalishvili vs. O'MalleyDvalishvili won
- Gastelum vs. PyferPyfer won
- Luque vs. HollandHolland won
- Mederos vs. ChoinskiMederos won
- Murzakanov vs. RibeiroMurzakanov won
- Pena vs. HarrisonHarrison won
- Salkilld vs. AshmouzSalkilld won
- Saragih vs. Sang YooSang Yoo won
- Silva vs. VanVan won
- Spivac vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Williams vs. GustafssonGustafsson won
- da Silva vs. CongCong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.