Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State vs. Auburn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf8ddde57a43a5cf7cfbc590f90a2013593c8b7955603e499ea8edd80bfb33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburnof Michigan State, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,386,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,361,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,386,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Michigan State | 32c | 339,766$108,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,969.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Auburn | 27c | 155,703$42,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,117.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Auburn | 68c | 148,474$100,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,541.73 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Michigan State | 9c | 50,357$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.85 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Michigan State | 32c | 44,424$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Michigan State | 15c | 42,557$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.75 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Michigan State | 2c | 26,366$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Michigan State | 32c | 25,320$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Auburn | 69c | 24,232$16,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.24 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Auburn | 67c | 23,330$15,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.89 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Michigan State | 63c | 22,642$14,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,334.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Auburn | 67c | 21,487$14,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.92 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Michigan State | 1c | 19,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Michigan State | 16c | 18,062$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.49 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Michigan State | 32c | 17,327$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.97 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Auburn | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Auburn | 67c | 13,550$9,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Michigan State | 3c | 12,973$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Michigan State | 12c | 11,409$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.92 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Michigan State | 33c | 10,232$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.63 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Michigan State | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Auburn | 67c | 8,158$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.19 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Auburn | 70c | 7,626$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.06 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Michigan State | 35c | 7,167$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973c…6e98backed Michigan State | 34c | 6,445$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Auburn | 67c | 6,300$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Michigan State | 32c | 5,347$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Auburn | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Michigan State | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Auburn | 71c | 4,700$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Michigan State | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Michigan State | 18c | 4,684$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.29 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Michigan State | 4c | 4,532$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Michigan State | 34c | 4,471$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Auburn | 68c | 4,409$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.97 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Auburn | 66c | 4,241$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0576backed Michigan State | 21c | 4,163$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…1fc9backed Michigan State | 3c | 4,045$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Michigan State | 19c | 3,932$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Auburn | 68c | 3,601$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Auburn | 70c | 3,600$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Auburn | 70c | 3,520$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.3 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Michigan State | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Michigan State | 29c | 3,416$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.71 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Auburn | 68c | 3,377$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.48 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…6ec7backed Michigan State | 11c | 3,321$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michigan State | 33c | 3,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Michigan State | 35c | 3,044$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.04 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Michigan State | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…fdffbacked Michigan State | 32c | 2,971$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Michigan State | 12c | 2,764$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Michigan State | 32c | 2,699$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.7 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Auburn | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Michigan State | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Michigan State | 25c | 2,494$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Michigan State | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Michigan State | 17c | 2,404$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Auburn | 68c | 2,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Auburn | 68c | 2,369$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.08 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Auburn | 68c | 2,022$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.04 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Michigan State | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Auburn | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Auburn | 67c | 1,895$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Michigan State | 33c | 1,849$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Auburn | 68c | 1,527$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Michigan State | 32c | 1,525$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Michigan State | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Auburn | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Michigan State | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Auburn | 66c | 1,480$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Michigan State | 32c | 1,465$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.71 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Auburn | 70c | 1,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Michigan State | 19c | 1,280$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Michigan State | 1c | 1,255$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Auburn | 68c | 1,126$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Auburn | 69c | 1,125$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Michigan State | 9c | 1,100$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State | 32c | 1,065$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…f46bbacked Michigan State | 2c | 1,061$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Auburn | 69c | 1,035$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Michigan State | 2c | 1,017$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Michigan State | 16c | 1,004$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Auburn | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Auburn | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Michigan State | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Michigan State | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Michigan State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Auburn | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Auburn | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Auburn | 68c | 972.46$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michigan State | 31c | 962$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Auburn | 67c | 940$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Michigan State | 24c | 893.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Michigan State | 10c | 830$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…c9e8backed Michigan State | 13c | 784.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Auburn | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Michigan State | 29c | 730.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Auburn | 69c | 726.11$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Michigan State | 25c | 704.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Auburn | 66c | 641.07$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.