NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13dc995cb19d39db527936b510a11efc27a4e38c9368ce74dbafe89d7478bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,115,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,111,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,115,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Warriors | 38c | 104,881$39,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,854.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 10c | 99,633$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,457.8 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 39c | 90,527$34,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,922.13 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Rockets | 63c | 79,494$50,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,492.91 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 72c | 77,898$56,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,691.9 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 35c | 72,455$25,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,589.28 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rockets | 61c | 68,044$41,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,537.09 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Warriors | 10c | 67,256$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.19 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 39c | 62,789$24,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,489.66 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 8c | 61,341$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.68 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Warriors | 2c | 52,744$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 26c | 50,210$13,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,121 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockets | 64c | 48,142$30,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,487.18 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Warriors | 0c | 40,250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Warriors | 41c | 38,234$15,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,713.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockets | 62c | 36,421$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,897.31 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…4844backed Warriors | 0c | 35,837$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Rockets | 61c | 34,142$20,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,315.52 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 27c | 31,220$8,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,501.6 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Warriors | 39c | 29,456$11,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Rockets | 62c | 28,453$17,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,886.18 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 61c | 28,395$17,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,946.43 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 28,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 26,165$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 62c | 26,041$16,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,895.62 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 35c | 23,761$8,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,312.12 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Warriors | 2c | 23,607$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Rockets | 63c | 23,567$14,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,719.83 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Warriors | 2c | 22,710$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Warriors | 1c | 22,420$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Warriors | 0c | 21,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Warriors | 5c | 20,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Warriors | 1c | 20,603$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Warriors | 0c | 19,454$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 62c | 18,137$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.55 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Rockets | 61c | 16,210$9,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Warriors | 28c | 15,504$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Warriors | 31c | 15,490$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.14 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 18c | 15,133$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.07 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 61c | 14,179$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Warriors | 39c | 13,462$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 79c | 11,254$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.05 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 10c | 11,213$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.28 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Warriors | 15c | 10,134$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Warriors | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 69c | 9,934$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 38c | 9,593$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.45 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 1c | 9,201$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 63c | 8,745$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rockets | 62c | 8,363$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.77 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b3…2d65backed Warriors | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Rockets | 61c | 8,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Warriors | 1c | 7,700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Warriors | 20c | 7,616$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.65 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 2c | 7,542$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Warriors | 38c | 7,303$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.13 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Warriors | 37c | 7,092$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Warriors | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Warriors | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.85 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Warriors | 1c | 6,038$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 1c | 5,700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Rockets | 62c | 5,588$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.35 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…3d40backed Warriors | 39c | 5,115$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 26c | 4,900$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.4 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…c8c1backed Warriors | 39c | 4,444$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Warriors | 4c | 4,425$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Warriors | 8c | 4,266$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.59 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Rockets | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Warriors | 39c | 3,978$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Warriors | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 69c | 3,758$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Warriors | 30c | 3,699$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Warriors | 21c | 3,625$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…e98abacked Warriors | 1c | 3,494$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 62c | 3,474$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.22 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 37c | 3,468$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.19 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 3c | 3,343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rockets | 61c | 3,250$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.5 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Warriors | 2c | 3,067$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 62c | 3,050$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 75c | 3,019$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 1c | 3,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Warriors | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Warriors | 24c | 2,518$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.85 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 7c | 2,506$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Warriors | 40c | 2,504$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Warriors | 23c | 2,432$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.59 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Warriors | 5c | 2,400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Warriors | 39c | 2,374$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.86 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Warriors | 7c | 2,210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 2,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 2,135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Warriors | 3c | 2,132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Warriors | 25c | 2,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Warriors | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.