TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland vs. Florida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Floridaof Maryland, Florida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$796,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$944,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Florida73c169,876$124,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,298.558644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Maryland5c141,042$6,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,512.134134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Maryland28c128,154$35,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,481.583641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Maryland26c99,840$25,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,597.057912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Florida74c36,351$26,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,362.472770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Florida74c28,991$21,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,558.185527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Maryland28c22,102$6,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,164.824831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Maryland12c21,734$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.0310335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Maryland27c19,411$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,241.053351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Maryland29c15,258$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.0510041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Florida72c14,445$10,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.697936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Maryland28c9,582$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.8313649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Maryland26c9,311$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.0213936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Maryland27c8,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1408138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Florida74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.7641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida67c6,605$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.858356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Maryland26c5,452$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.4953057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Maryland26c4,806$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.3942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ea…7c79backed Maryland27c3,596$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Maryland28c2,894$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Maryland25c2,790$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.279833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Maryland26c2,700$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maryland26c2,276$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.746440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Maryland13c2,222$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.863046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Maryland26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Maryland29c1,855$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Florida72c1,794$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.398151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Maryland28c1,720$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.183,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Maryland26c1,600$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.336934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Florida78c1,508$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.311070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Maryland29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Florida73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.862676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maryland27c1,336$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.121,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…8e49backed Florida73c1,334$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Maryland12c1,300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Florida74c1,111$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.864250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Maryland19c1,108$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.333016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Florida75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Florida72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Maryland28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Maryland26c999.93$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.419641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Maryland13c899.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f16…b561backed Florida74c827.22$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Maryland10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Florida73c741.57$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5316842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Florida74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.683050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Maryland28c599.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Maryland20c598.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Maryland26c584$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.843993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Florida73c574.01$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.985054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Florida74c572.94$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.42564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Florida71c564.32$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.654542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Florida73c546.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.091040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Maryland19c518.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Maryland27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13580%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Maryland13c462.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.242924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Florida71c460$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Maryland5c460$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Maryland27c460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Florida73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19a3…09b0backed Maryland32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland28c358$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Maryland28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Florida73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.519238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Maryland28c333$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.242123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Florida74c324.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.52580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Maryland27c300.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.232040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Florida72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8415851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Florida72c289.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7910558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Florida72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Maryland29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Maryland37c269.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Florida78c257.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.476767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9c…503bbacked Florida73c252.05$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.055100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Florida72c250$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Maryland27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.61827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2397…8eb2backed Maryland26c206.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Maryland29c205.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.65337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Florida73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Florida73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maryland24c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Florida71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Florida72c169.65$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c57…224bbacked Maryland21c165.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Florida72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Maryland27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Florida72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e6…5d2bbacked Florida72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Florida73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Florida73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Florida74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Florida73c124.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.011275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Maryland27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b9…23c2backed Maryland28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x416c…14f4backed Florida72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Maryland27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Maryland32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Maryland24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Florida72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Florida74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.