College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ebe9677abaafc80fa4ab557ca3295a5b4902df37eb64bcc810651f8b0748b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed LSU | 50c | 54,128$27,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,158.89 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas A&M | 50c | 21,244$10,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,622.2 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 13,524$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas A&M | 50c | 10,036$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.79 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Texas A&M | 49c | 8,515$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.65 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M | 49c | 5,913$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed LSU | 50c | 2,308$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed LSU | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas A&M | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed LSU | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed LSU | 50c | 1,871$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked LSU | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas A&M | 48c | 1,395$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.25 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked LSU | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Texas A&M | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed LSU | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed LSU | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed LSU | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed LSU | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Texas A&M | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed LSU | 55c | 137.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed LSU | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed LSU | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked LSU | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 78.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked LSU | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…bf72backed Texas A&M | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked LSU | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Texas A&M | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked LSU | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed LSU | 51c | 39.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…6eb3backed Texas A&M | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…6745backed Texas A&M | 54c | 35.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Texas A&M | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Texas A&M | 50c | 24.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed LSU | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Texas A&M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Texas A&M vs. LSUTexas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 47.5Over won
- Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 49.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.