College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76e86b6453f80963295a14bbf7b65000f2337b324dde333f45ad3238e7d71e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansasof Texas A&M, Arkansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas A&M | 50c | 36,251$18,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,081.91 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Arkansas | 49c | 9,117$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.19 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas | 49c | 8,349$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Arkansas | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Arkansas | 52c | 4,650$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Arkansas | 54c | 4,306$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.76 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 3,678$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.96 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arkansas | 51c | 3,265$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.85 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arkansas | 50c | 2,249$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.74 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas A&M | 51c | 1,917$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.47 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas A&M | 46c | 1,853$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.38 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas A&M | 48c | 1,646$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.08 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Arkansas | 52c | 1,570$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.6 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arkansas | 51c | 999.58$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas A&M | 50c | 996.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texas A&M | 48c | 800$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arkansas | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arkansas | 55c | 513$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arkansas | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Arkansas | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Arkansas | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Texas A&M | 45c | 363$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arkansas | 49c | 362$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Arkansas | 50c | 327$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Arkansas | 49c | 285.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arkansas | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Texas A&M | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Arkansas | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas | 49c | 150.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Texas A&M | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Texas A&M | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Arkansas | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Arkansas | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Arkansas | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Texas A&M | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Arkansas | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Texas A&M | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Arkansas | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Arkansas | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Texas A&M | 52c | 28.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…acf6backed Texas A&M | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Arkansas | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)this page
- O/U 61.5Over won
- Texas A&M vs. ArkansasTexas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. Arkansas: O/U 57.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.