TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Arkansas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Texas A&M73c55,555$40,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.8515352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Arkansas27c55,555$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.8515539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Texas A&M79c31,290$24,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,660.3619362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Arkansas26c27,809$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.678331.3%26 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Arkansas28c12,438$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.5612549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arkansas19c9,207$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.8668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Arkansas14c7,416$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.46030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Arkansas29c7,209$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.6181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M71c6,760$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.3730949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M80c6,161$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Arkansas27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…9ed3backed Arkansas29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Texas A&M74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Arkansas18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M71c3,863$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.382,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Texas A&M71c3,662$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.067944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas26c3,586$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.3449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Texas A&M72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arkansas28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas3c2,355$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Texas A&M75c2,346$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas28c2,082$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58340244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arkansas26c2,014$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.6419051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas A&M72c1,585$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Arkansas17c1,556$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…d3aabacked Texas A&M73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b0…d410backed Arkansas27c1,500$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee6e…b859backed Texas A&M73c1,484$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Arkansas27c1,482$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Arkansas27c1,400$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0647131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba5…cb7dbacked Texas A&M73c1,328$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Arkansas27c1,143$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.311,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Arkansas26c999.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Texas A&M75c999.34$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Texas A&M72c969.86$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.862937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5a00backed Arkansas27c939.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502218.2%4 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f82…d6abbacked Arkansas24c859.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…94cabacked Texas A&M72c832.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.222055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas A&M76c817.62$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas A&M72c742.86$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20875651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Arkansas11c723$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Arkansas28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…3c4ebacked Arkansas29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Texas A&M73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Arkansas26c684.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17837749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas14c662.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1514836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Texas A&M75c650$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Texas A&M72c645.39$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x279b…04f5backed Arkansas27c614.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Arkansas20c505.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…1aadbacked Arkansas26c430.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+302.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fce…ae92backed Arkansas12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…1eb7backed Texas A&M75c400.65$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Arkansas6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…6e97backed Arkansas28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…a48fbacked Texas A&M73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas26c333$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5848546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Texas A&M79c320$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.84257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Texas A&M72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x382b…2c5abacked Arkansas23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9737…38a5backed Texas A&M80c299.01$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aeb…9d06backed Arkansas33c294.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas5c282.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Texas A&M73c210.1$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.733745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80de…ef85backed Arkansas10c208.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Arkansas27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543616.7%6 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Texas A&M73c196$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9210750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Arkansas29c190.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.792638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f83…825cbacked Texas A&M80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Arkansas26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fca…4295backed Texas A&M75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ee…78fbbacked Texas A&M74c145.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Arkansas28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…ad0fbacked Texas A&M73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Texas A&M80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72c…ef9fbacked Arkansas9c117.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccf…5f55backed Arkansas27c111.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.221136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2847331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Arkansas30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb36…1c00backed Texas A&M74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb17…0a7cbacked Texas A&M72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Texas A&M72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Arkansas13c87.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.955223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…02b5backed Arkansas14c86.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.531020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Arkansas30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…c18dbacked Texas A&M73c83.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Arkansas38c81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3830548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Arkansas28c78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x384d…22d2backed Arkansas17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Texas A&M72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Texas A&M71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.755856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Texas A&M74c71.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Texas A&M72c70.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.357867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Arkansas27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Texas A&M73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7918868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Texas A&M73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796764.2%43 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Texas A&M74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.055662.5%35 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Arkansas28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Texas A&M72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1424157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Arkansas29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.514055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.