TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan vs. Texas A&M

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michiganof Michigan, Texas A&M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$699,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80a5…f9babacked Michigan43c57,753$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,752.748143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Texas A&M35c43,815$15,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,403.354134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Texas A&M51c38,547$19,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,798.7610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Texas A&M11c31,044$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.429833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Michigan41c25,555$10,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,021.862634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Texas A&M38c23,600$8,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9208644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Michigan47c20,099$9,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,627.3118850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Texas A&M57c9,505$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.864254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Texas A&M50c8,530$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Texas A&M60c8,358$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-34.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd181…c557backed Texas A&M71c7,717$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Texas A&M55c6,759$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.245054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M57c6,300$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.9953057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Texas A&M4c5,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.281136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+127.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan42c4,804$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.2242948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Michigan20c3,858$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.891020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Texas A&M29c3,607$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0331225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Texas A&M59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas A&M59c2,985$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.418356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Texas A&M58c2,854$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.23850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Texas A&M1c2,792$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92850%4 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+629.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Texas A&M54c2,439$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas A&M3c2,366$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.711,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Texas A&M60c2,041$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.744632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Texas A&M58c1,996$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.869641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Michigan43c1,925$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Michigan42c1,605$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.92828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x55de…aed6backed Michigan42c1,548$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3420…1856backed Texas A&M58c1,548$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas A&M59c1,393$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.513,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Texas A&M41c1,388$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6760%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Michigan35c1,348$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.952040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Texas A&M56c1,300$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Texas A&M60c1,204$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.283016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Texas A&M58c1,184$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Michigan43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Texas A&M52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Texas A&M34c1,151$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.919238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Texas A&M59c1,124$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.863943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Texas A&M60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Texas A&M58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texas A&M59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Texas A&M59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M48c925.12$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Michigan75c889.09$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.092250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas A&M57c871.45$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Texas A&M55c863.83$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3812045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Texas A&M53c740.87$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.241625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Michigan43c718$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3416842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Texas A&M80c640$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360c…38f8backed Michigan42c630.9$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…d0e4backed Texas A&M58c630.9$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Texas A&M59c620$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.45959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michigan36c549.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.854052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Michigan43c508.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.95450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+86.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Texas A&M59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Texas A&M60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Texas A&M57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Michigan42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.198463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Michigan54c467.65$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Texas A&M59c420.34$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Texas A&M61c400$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Michigan76c398.02$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Michigan42c395.06$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.133351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Texas A&M57c381.96$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.693923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texas A&M57c380.1$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Michigan74c378.85$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Michigan28c359.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+79.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Texas A&M52c345.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.531353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Michigan43c300$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1729839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Texas A&M61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1835538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Michigan35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Michigan48c298.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Michigan43c268.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.542619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Michigan43c259.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Texas A&M65c244.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Michigan41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texas A&M53c242.54$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Michigan42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Michigan43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Michigan44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Michigan44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Texas A&M51c220.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.322227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b8e…66bfbacked Michigan42c211.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Michigan41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11830649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb869…c4c6backed Michigan43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Michigan36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.992231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Texas A&M59c196.61$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e3…663dbacked Michigan46c193.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Texas A&M68c191.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Michigan43c180.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.036923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e55…304ebacked Texas A&M64c174.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Michigan50c161.66$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.833342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Texas A&M53c151.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.182055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Michigan20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf848…03abbacked Michigan30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Texas A&M60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Michigan42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.862832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Texas A&M67c140$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db3…7febbacked Michigan37c134.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.851838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.