TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

LSU vs. Vanderbilt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbiltof LSU, Vanderbilt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,562,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,552,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,562,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Vanderbilt54c783,650$423,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360,453.932958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked LSU43c317,473$137,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,628.3268440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed LSU46c296,541$136,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,325.677846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed LSU46c155,000$71,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,30032745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked LSU46c109,079$50,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,145.1137749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Vanderbilt61c61,230$37,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,034.0227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked LSU46c58,608$26,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,983.9529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fce…2229backed LSU32c58,507$18,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,851.642744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked LSU47c53,577$25,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,181.075745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Vanderbilt52c44,060$22,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,148.7921055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Vanderbilt52c37,750$19,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,002.9915352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Vanderbilt66c36,634$24,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,311.810448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked LSU46c36,438$16,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,747.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Vanderbilt53c33,065$17,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,540.591747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vanderbilt72c23,762$17,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,570.6940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Vanderbilt51c22,626$11,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,010.411546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed LSU34c17,111$5,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,824.3319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed LSU45c17,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Vanderbilt54c15,066$8,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,995.3415745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Vanderbilt55c12,998$7,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed LSU44c12,523$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.083438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6999…29ddbacked Vanderbilt55c12,500$6,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked LSU48c11,919$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.5981847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Vanderbilt60c11,579$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.1355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Vanderbilt64c11,528$7,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.3785947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Vanderbilt53c10,700$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,02920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed LSU46c10,198$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.8234250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Vanderbilt52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Vanderbilt54c9,152$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed LSU46c9,130$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433a…3bd8backed Vanderbilt55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Vanderbilt53c8,560$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.3926147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…964dbacked LSU45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1188…b5f5backed LSU46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a95…000bbacked LSU46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed LSU46c7,990$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Vanderbilt77c7,088$5,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.9386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Vanderbilt55c6,843$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.0775651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a5…4244backed LSU46c6,700$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Vanderbilt62c6,597$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.9515451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked LSU48c6,499$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.5838142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ac…5befbacked LSU46c6,400$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed LSU49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed LSU6c6,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt60c5,753$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.9762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb28…598fbacked Vanderbilt55c5,400$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23da…a83dbacked Vanderbilt55c5,300$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Vanderbilt64c5,296$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.432748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f3…cd6abacked LSU46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Vanderbilt52c4,125$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.051,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Vanderbilt62c4,080$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.455438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed LSU48c4,010$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.812450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed LSU48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Vanderbilt54c3,724$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.062365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed LSU46c3,338$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.685639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt52c3,136$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.1322750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee50…7ed6backed LSU51c3,027$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Vanderbilt54c2,719$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.3349443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed LSU48c2,718$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.7115252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e64…fd77backed LSU45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Vanderbilt52c2,644$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.287929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked LSU49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36fd…ce8bbacked LSU45c2,431$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…e84abacked Vanderbilt55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed LSU45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt53c2,178$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Vanderbilt56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0612042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe4…04abbacked Vanderbilt55c1,992$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked LSU45c1,969$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.8749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed LSU50c1,897$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…05efbacked Vanderbilt80c1,582$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked Vanderbilt54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dca…96dbbacked LSU46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed LSU43c1,481$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Vanderbilt55c1,375$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7511844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vanderbilt51c1,366$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9e…0b92backed Vanderbilt53c1,320$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Vanderbilt53c1,228$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9417954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked LSU47c1,220$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5115539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked LSU37c1,201$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed LSU46c1,137$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Vanderbilt65c1,120$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.966543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…6e97backed LSU38c1,056$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt61c1,044$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8730949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed83…a91fbacked LSU46c1,043$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Vanderbilt52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed LSU45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed LSU1c999$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Vanderbilt52c981.54$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.345742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked LSU31c956.93$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.524157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ee…a5dcbacked Vanderbilt55c907.27$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…62d5backed LSU46c906.52$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked LSU45c902.39$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.082,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Vanderbilt52c808$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed LSU46c804.65$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.148347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked LSU3c799.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255028%14 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked LSU37c791.27$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.775641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked LSU38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…55acbacked Vanderbilt55c789.09$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fa…166fbacked Vanderbilt55c780$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.