College Football · resolved market
LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36533f1d8a94c308155bf8437150f1985bcf327d1bd4117ccf4d8eca1b55408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe02d…45e5backed Over | 50c | 24,864$12,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,432 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 21,188$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.01 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 9,500$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 7,680$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.15 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 4,926$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.97 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,646$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.76 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 48c | 3,873$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.42 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Under | 52c | 3,439$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 2,015$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.92 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6208…af2dbacked Under | 50c | 1,188$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…d978backed Under | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…25f5backed Under | 50c | 924$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…1294backed Under | 50c | 882$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 862$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…c40fbacked Under | 50c | 846$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…52b3backed Under | 50c | 826$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237c…5ceabacked Under | 50c | 780$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…f3e7backed Under | 50c | 698$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…22b2backed Under | 50c | 669$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…266ebacked Under | 50c | 663$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…8106backed Under | 50c | 656$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…ab09backed Under | 50c | 649$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5875…4273backed Under | 50c | 648$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…0debbacked Under | 50c | 629$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…2afbbacked Under | 50c | 618$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…cbffbacked Under | 50c | 607$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…c50ebacked Under | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a74…56aebacked Under | 50c | 593$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…f905backed Under | 50c | 583$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…9021backed Under | 50c | 579$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…2138backed Under | 50c | 545$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…e1c1backed Under | 50c | 530$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 528$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 39c | 519.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 48c | 497.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…740cbacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…4003backed Under | 50c | 483$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…9cffbacked Under | 50c | 447$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…56c1backed Under | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…ca4ebacked Over | 49c | 440$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…e1d7backed Under | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…89cebacked Under | 50c | 423$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…8c4abacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…3adfbacked Under | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…2940backed Under | 50c | 397$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…65e6backed Under | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…5f2cbacked Under | 50c | 381$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c7f7backed Under | 50c | 377$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…207bbacked Under | 50c | 372$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…0f6fbacked Under | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…8215backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a11…18f6backed Under | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…2134backed Under | 50c | 309$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…8f7ebacked Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…1f42backed Under | 50c | 278$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…bd50backed Under | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…2172backed Under | 50c | 263$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…7241backed Under | 50c | 259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…41d1backed Under | 50c | 238$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Under | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…7102backed Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…78e4backed Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…768cbacked Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…b97bbacked Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…9a1ebacked Under | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…9e66backed Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…b847backed Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 48.5this page
- LSU vs. VanderbiltVanderbilt won
- LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 47.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-1.5)Vanderbilt won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-2.5)Vanderbilt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.