College Football · resolved market
O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d53ff2a40b82caee7a6d02920bbedee9b9d9e640f4df1e75d6a5574cb791391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 6,644$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 1,660$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.37 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 54c | 1,331$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.74 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 45c | 531$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 421.41$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 320$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…796abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 49.5this page
- LSU vs. VanderbiltVanderbilt won
- LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 47.5Over won
- LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-1.5)Vanderbilt won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-2.5)Vanderbilt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.