College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606a77267cf786c804d73bf59308ac25ecc1ab83878f8745e6bb0cb27e7beb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Georgia | 50c | 12,895$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.61 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 50c | 7,482$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.21 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Alabama | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Georgia | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Alabama | 50c | 2,196$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.08 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Alabama | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Georgia | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Alabama | 50c | 1,633$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.05 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Alabama | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Georgia | 50c | 595.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Alabama | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgia | 52c | 154$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama | 50c | 108.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia | 50c | 108.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Georgia | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Alabama | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Alabama | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Alabama | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Alabama | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Alabama | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…a0f8backed Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)this page
- Georgia vs. AlabamaGeorgia won
- Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.