College Football · resolved market
O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015573cc5179b14b3193b2863672d2e986f654abe64360faa64dfa35de7d7ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 10,082$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.56 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 6,893$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 6,617$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.57 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 5,932$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.35 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,527$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.82 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 4,637$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 47c | 3,147$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.3 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 2,594$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.01 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 59c | 2,100$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 47c | 1,926$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.78 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,510$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.2 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 1,255$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.99 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 1,165$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.78 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Under | 49c | 921.47$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 450$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Under | 48c | 418.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 75c | 235.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Over | 21c | 233.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Over | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 53c | 185.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Under | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 51c | 150.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Over | 38c | 129.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Under | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 54c | 96.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Over | 45c | 60.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 59c | 50.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed Under | 69c | 43.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 36.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Under | 56c | 33.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 29.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Over | 54c | 28.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…18eebacked Under | 61c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 49c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…ad1dbacked Under | 52c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…a0f8backed Over | 53c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 47.5this page
- Georgia vs. AlabamaGeorgia won
- Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.