TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,357,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$715,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf22e…f52cbacked Yes4c119,073$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.665525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes2c89,600$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.063429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…abcdbacked Yes3c71,619$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c58,878$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.39933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes4c44,396$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.71185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes2c29,455$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.919826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes3c26,353$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.535617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Yes1c25,159$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.31931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes3c24,089$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.9516242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes3c23,479$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0224634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes4c23,331$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.6822344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6c…40adbacked Yes5c21,366$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes4c21,028$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.0215832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes2c20,900$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.892920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes3c20,472$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9213934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes2c18,786$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.15030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe338…1bc3backed Yes5c16,377$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c15,583$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.912,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…3fdebacked Yes5c15,111$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes4c14,580$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.7822344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes2c14,366$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes3c13,869$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.52450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes4c11,905$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes5c11,055$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes2c11,035$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.693636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd777…4ed2backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c10,448$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.222714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes4c10,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes2c8,941$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf087…0684backed Yes4c8,593$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes2c8,275$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7511230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes3c8,268$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.624030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes4c8,100$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.918721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa83…5599backed Yes1c8,084$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.45922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes1c7,792$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.52030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes4c7,307$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes3c7,243$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes2c7,238$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14725244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes3c6,574$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes4c6,263$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.391225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes3c6,011$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.921540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Yes4c5,910$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes5c5,802$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes2c5,718$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.293315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes4c5,500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2822…9ab9backed Yes3c5,143$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes3c5,080$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.762035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…8618backed Yes4c5,072$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes3c4,970$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7910138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes3c4,689$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6766531.3%208 W · 457 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c4,500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.52725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes5c4,309$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes4c4,094$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.83140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes3c3,954$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3176…b725backed Yes2c2,900$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa696…b081backed Yes3c2,800$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c39…b7a6backed Yes4c2,732$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes4c2,591$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes1c2,553$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.673324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…1ef5backed Yes4c2,526$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab5…37c4backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes5c2,500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b5…8763backed Yes2c2,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe641…8488backed Yes4c2,470$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…440cbacked Yes4c2,439$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes2c2,433$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.483745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Yes4c2,427$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes2c2,422$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes2c2,363$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414140.4%57 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Yes2c2,310$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes2c2,274$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.533435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes2c2,243$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9814332.9%47 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x413c…1904backed Yes4c2,203$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6291…a3d9backed Yes4c2,182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes2c2,130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Yes1c2,055$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes3c2,000$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes2c2,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.231729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8699…6b12backed Yes4c2,000$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes3c1,941$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.935326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes2c1,650$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes2c1,629$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca2…e321backed Yes2c1,615$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.470%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Yes4c1,468$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605819%11 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…e20fbacked Yes3c1,412$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01b…e951backed Yes4c1,373$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…9368backed Yes7c1,338$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Yes8c1,309$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.624450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9b…1152backed Yes7c1,303$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.74616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-50.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes3c1,250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.251711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecc…8422backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff43…2ce8backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes3c1,249$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5d…88aebacked Yes4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes2c1,161$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…b7cabacked Yes4c1,114$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.47540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick12cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf901…2264backed Yes3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed Yes4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes4c984.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.371,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Yes4c968.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.