TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c43,858$118 inLost-$118.03480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes0c42,601$116 inLost-$115.54933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes0c33,728$67 inLost-$67.465030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c25,555$62 inLost-$62.22224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes0c19,000$55 inLost-$555617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes0c15,678$32 inLost-$32.1628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…c5a2backed Yes0c11,084$50 inLost-$506944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes0c8,550$34 inLost-$342010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes0c8,385$34 inLost-$33.549826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes1c6,014$40 inLost-$39.725326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes0c5,279$25 inLost-$25.0917244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f0…c480backed Yes0c4,150$12 inLost-$12.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes0c3,334$12 inLost-$12.123315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c2,836$10 inLost-$10.21170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes0c2,435$12 inLost-$12.092623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8161…e08ebacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost-$1014553.1%77 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.