Tennis · resolved market
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221c6cb71ababd3eff204b0535e2fb76c504e9de044e53b529a07d8a7aace620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 1c | 62,445$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 1c | 57,858$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 1c | 22,909$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 1c | 14,298$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 2c | 11,085$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 2c | 10,434$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 1c | 9,188$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,040$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 6,708$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…616ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,640$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…233fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,795$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 2c | 5,129$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 4,092$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 1c | 4,089$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…c3c2backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,842$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 2c | 3,459$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e321backed Yes | 1c | 3,173$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,693$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 2c | 2,396$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,367$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 1c | 2,360$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,294$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,266$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…d38bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…2054backed Yes | 1c | 1,173$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…1152backed Yes | 2c | 1,124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…5b49backed Yes | 2c | 1,106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…8763backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 1c | 999.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 1c | 874.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 842.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…ae32backed Yes | 2c | 806.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…da44backed Yes | 2c | 590$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…30aabacked Yes | 5c | 368.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.