Tennis · resolved market
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5dc18eae946eddcba0a51183db032bb01bfcf2c73458788bece897df68f18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $734,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 57,392$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 0c | 52,169$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 49,107$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 48,384$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 0c | 47,599$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 0c | 37,343$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 0c | 36,134$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 0c | 22,603$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 22,222$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 1c | 17,950$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da7…1aecbacked Yes | 0c | 14,230$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Yes | 1c | 12,380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 0c | 12,289$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 1c | 11,657$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 9,995$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 1c | 9,832$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 1c | 8,806$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 1c | 8,357$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Yes | 1c | 7,670$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 0c | 7,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…9cb5backed Yes | 1c | 7,656$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…77eabacked Yes | 1c | 7,142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…608abacked Yes | 0c | 6,593$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…24b4backed Yes | 1c | 6,454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 1c | 6,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…12f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 5,413$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,182$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 1c | 5,127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,933$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 0c | 4,891$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…246abacked Yes | 1c | 4,490$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…0cb3backed Yes | 1c | 4,021$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e321backed Yes | 1c | 3,626$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,339$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 0c | 2,668$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…9fdcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,227$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,218$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Yes | 1c | 1,695$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 1c | 1,671$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…66b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…0b72backed Yes | 1c | 1,132$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 1c | 861.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.