TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$636,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Yes6c121,497$7,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.3216242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes6c101,207$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.164040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes5c28,041$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2885617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes6c26,462$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.74119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152010%2 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+256.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes7c14,922$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.492030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes4c14,133$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.824634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes5c12,470$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes5c12,064$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes7c11,641$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.413745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes5c10,174$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.869826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes5c6,500$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes6c5,871$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.23315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Yes6c5,544$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.675525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes4c5,175$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.163836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes5c5,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.332227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes4c4,129$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes5c3,778$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.36185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes6c3,610$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.481040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa486…25d4backed Yes3c3,431$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.816259.7%37 W · 25 L+12.2wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+399.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe5bc…fee0backed Yes5c3,077$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes3c3,065$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes6c2,880$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8793…2393backed Yes6c2,851$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,477$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.12,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes4c2,323$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes4c2,288$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfa…ab48backed Yes4c2,284$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c2,230$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.843435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Yes4c1,964$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.817632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes5c1,907$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes5c1,800$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.33531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes3c1,636$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5914540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes7c1,451$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.438640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes4c1,406$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes4c1,313$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…10fdbacked Yes6c1,252$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes4c1,212$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes7c1,117$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384d…c0e7backed Yes5c1,092$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes5c1,066$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes6c1,062$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.512737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Yes6c1,049$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes6c1,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab5…37c4backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3176…b725backed Yes4c999.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.971735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b5…8763backed Yes4c999.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes4c996.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-86%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad96…da44backed Yes4c969.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Yes5c957$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.555141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes4c951.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8511230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…65d2backed Yes4c905.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed Yes7c842.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb60c…0bd7backed Yes6c806.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Yes8c691.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3615246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes4c680.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…08e5backed Yes4c598$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3160%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…66b8backed Yes4c537.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-62.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736a…afb5backed Yes4c513.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ff…f74cbacked Yes8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…bb62backed Yes7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c489$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7622723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes4c487$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0214933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes6c472.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes6c471.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…f6c4backed Yes5c464.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes5c449.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes9c430.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014140.4%57 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab80…d38bbacked Yes5c420$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…6621backed Yes5c412.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…440cbacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Yes6c400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099a…13f5backed Yes6c390.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b8…07f8backed Yes5c363.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes5c349.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939f…f057backed Yes6c345.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c330.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.131,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba9…1eaebacked Yes6c314.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985f…4607backed Yes5c289$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes7c280$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7947058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes6c268.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…e0b8backed Yes4c257$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Yes4c227.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6539…ac0ebacked Yes7c227$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.815452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c9…0657backed Yes8c159$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c9…fbc3backed Yes7c141$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.