TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$437,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes0c108,206$336 inLost-$336.41119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c57,900$192 inLost-$191.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes0c47,562$48 inLost-$47.565030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes0c29,900$60 inLost-$59.8933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c29,309$63 inLost-$62.84480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c22,222$33 inLost-$33.33224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1162…1a5bbacked Yes0c18,563$64 inLost-$64.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c6,326$14 inLost-$13.78170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes0c5,256$21 inLost-$21.0228543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…b035backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b5…8763backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$15100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe597…077cbacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff4…a683backed Yes0c4,704$13 inLost-$1370%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes0c3,029$12 inLost-$12.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ed…608abacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.