TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,540,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,490,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,080 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes33c199,714$66,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,166.334040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed No49c167,667$82,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,663.413641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes30c149,343$44,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,522.5713934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No67c114,852$76,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,412.53185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No64c74,528$47,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,618.841225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes57c64,742$37,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,675.6710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes40c56,246$22,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,645.74119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…1b05backed Yes28c51,640$14,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,378.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6c…40adbacked Yes26c50,706$13,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,574.441070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc4…f94fbacked No52c47,092$24,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,641.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes44c44,289$19,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,894.8322037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No66c43,879$28,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,803.542030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes39c38,903$15,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,689.95545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1083…d361backed Yes52c38,521$20,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,489.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No68c36,398$24,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,637.0616242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes55c36,177$20,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,158.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Yes32c36,157$11,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,448.34548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes51c35,900$18,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,695.2328043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes29c32,747$9,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,323.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes47c31,956$15,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,897.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No52c30,500$15,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,772.842725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc380…4e7cbacked Yes36c27,840$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,839.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f9…7dd4backed Yes34c26,631$9,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,586.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes19c25,733$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,902.2114345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes39c24,493$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,902.862714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes46c24,250$11,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,071.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No73c23,914$17,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,359.5411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Yes67c22,433$15,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,328.111450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7773…c91ebacked No50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes57c20,000$11,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6506331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes19c19,291$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,532.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes26c17,785$4,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,101.238023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes26c16,541$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,228.0652750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes75c16,240$12,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.5464455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No67c15,620$10,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,465.323935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes36c15,595$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,933.3617818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d6…d716backed Yes30c15,538$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,885.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes24c15,485$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,772.1424634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f6…742fbacked Yes47c14,894$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,893.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Yes51c14,848$7,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,275.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes31c14,703$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,194.083458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No66c14,683$9,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,695.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes51c14,346$7,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,042.023135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes25c13,920$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,433.853429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No66c12,000$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,92017145%77 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes48c11,895$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.549137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes50c11,538$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f55…ce1bbacked No69c11,000$7,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,62040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f5…19dabacked Yes51c11,000$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…3307backed Yes46c10,859$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes35c10,608$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes45c10,301$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No58c10,287$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No60c10,233$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.721,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No50c10,163$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,046.86224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c10,127$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,565.366946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d1…4e28backed Yes44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1655…a669backed Yes52c9,598$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…dedfbacked Yes47c9,000$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No73c8,619$6,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,292.685253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e63…3ea8backed Yes56c8,601$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…2264backed Yes31c8,539$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,911.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d18…3dc7backed Yes25c8,100$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Yes41c7,792$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,606.691478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes45c7,665$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.822344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c7,171$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,334.471,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No66c7,129$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.942759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes50c7,045$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.633158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes24c6,825$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.625617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c6…89b7backed Yes30c6,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes29c6,515$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.3128350.9%144 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes28c6,463$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes33c6,446$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.8830847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Yes47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9833955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes34c6,264$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed No67c6,120$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.236648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked No57c6,033$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.323441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No66c6,000$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.719826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac92…9d64backed Yes32c6,000$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Yes46c6,000$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes31c5,704$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.95837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Yes52c5,479$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.856376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No72c5,291$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.881,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes32c5,197$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed No71c5,197$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.341050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes30c5,153$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.2925252.4%132 W · 120 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes50c5,151$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.62676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf20…f904backed Yes39c5,150$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Yes50c5,078$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5391435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155b…389dbacked Yes39c5,075$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes50c5,073$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.4452744.6%235 W · 292 L+30.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed Yes47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No73c4,711$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed No71c4,666$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3421…5cafbacked Yes77c4,665$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes55c4,640$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.5832141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…8618backed Yes22c4,557$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.67633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked No67c4,478$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.