NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cab6a58741c2a52f3c3a89204a13be0de1e676af36bb07eb5f5f2f67c1f3c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,467,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,258,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,467,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 20c | 215,304$43,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,516.94 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics | 80c | 150,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 19c | 65,340$12,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,540.63 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 20c | 50,380$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Wizards | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 8c | 47,338$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 7c | 45,674$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 20c | 40,666$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,034.54 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 80c | 37,262$29,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Wizards | 19c | 37,220$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.26 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wizards | 19c | 33,504$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.22 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 20c | 26,540$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.13 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Celtics | 79c | 24,367$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.07 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 20,173$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Wizards | 20c | 19,471$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 14c | 16,782$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.53 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 0c | 15,996$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 80c | 15,000$11,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.1 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wizards | 1c | 13,110$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 0c | 12,740$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…15e1backed Celtics | 79c | 12,659$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 18c | 12,101$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.09 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…fa71backed Wizards | 21c | 11,554$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Celtics | 80c | 10,625$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Wizards | 19c | 10,565$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Wizards | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Wizards | 18c | 9,963$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Wizards | 20c | 9,948$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.62 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 19c | 9,512$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Celtics | 80c | 8,750$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Wizards | 16c | 8,687$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 13c | 8,418$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.38 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 7c | 8,353$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.46 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Wizards | 22c | 8,337$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.34 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 21c | 7,960$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.6 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 79c | 7,048$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.08 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…61dcbacked Celtics | 80c | 7,016$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 21c | 6,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Celtics | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Wizards | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 79c | 5,443$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.03 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 21c | 5,322$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.24 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 20c | 5,100$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Wizards | 17c | 5,018$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.06 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Wizards | 21c | 4,856$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.83 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 5c | 4,770$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 0c | 4,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…1e93backed Wizards | 22c | 3,940$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Celtics | 78c | 3,633$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.25 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 20c | 3,499$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 19c | 3,489$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.65 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Wizards | 21c | 3,457$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wizards | 21c | 3,450$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.49 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…c90abacked Wizards | 21c | 3,415$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 6c | 3,399$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 13c | 3,333$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Wizards | 13c | 3,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Celtics | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 4c | 2,980$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 21c | 2,830$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Celtics | 80c | 2,800$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Celtics | 79c | 2,656$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Celtics | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Celtics | 78c | 2,488$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Celtics | 79c | 2,467$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…f65cbacked Celtics | 79c | 2,467$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Celtics | 79c | 2,422$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 19c | 2,420$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Celtics | 79c | 2,407$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 79c | 2,354$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.47 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Celtics | 79c | 2,344$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards | 5c | 2,200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…56d7backed Wizards | 21c | 2,200$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed Celtics | 79c | 2,200$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards | 14c | 2,105$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.17 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…d883backed Wizards | 14c | 2,095$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Celtics | 79c | 2,056$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.63 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Wizards | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…ef8dbacked Celtics | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Wizards | 21c | 1,974$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.57 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 78c | 1,947$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Celtics | 79c | 1,925$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Celtics | 80c | 1,923$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Celtics | 80c | 1,922$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.47 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…4bcebacked Wizards | 11c | 1,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Wizards | 18c | 1,764$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.18 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Celtics | 80c | 1,750$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…9a6fbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,700$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards | 20c | 1,636$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wizards | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.