TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Canucks, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$550,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Canucks25c221,935$55,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,086.8310349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks29c98,760$28,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,750.911,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Avalanche76c81,000$61,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,84010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Avalanche74c78,546$57,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,702.8530944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Canucks25c40,572$10,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1438354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche75c40,450$30,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,112.548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche75c40,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche75c39,880$30,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,861.7721755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Avalanche75c36,141$27,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,035.2538844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Canucks25c30,416$7,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,603.999548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Avalanche75c25,000$18,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2506055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Avalanche70c19,484$13,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,794.4662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche71c10,177$7,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.381,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche75c9,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche75c6,645$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.2539047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Canucks31c6,587$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.9724654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche77c5,976$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.446163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche75c5,546$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Avalanche75c4,680$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.986835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche71c4,611$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche75c4,185$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.882,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Canucks25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9927548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Canucks25c3,333$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2522546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche71c3,234$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7710565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks38c2,931$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.32,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Avalanche64c2,879$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks24c2,750$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche75c2,462$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Canucks26c2,308$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Canucks26c2,277$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4127143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Avalanche75c2,059$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.525745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Canucks25c1,872$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46817744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Canucks40c1,794$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.444131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Avalanche75c1,710$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.544652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche73c1,652$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0510255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks39c1,606$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.7795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche75c1,553$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.811,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083d…c1e0backed Avalanche76c1,521$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Avalanche75c1,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38022852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Canucks24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.997338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Avalanche75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche76c1,380$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.21,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Avalanche76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche75c1,291$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.861,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche75c1,289$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.791,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Avalanche73c1,245$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.786547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Canucks26c1,180$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0214848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe060…c21cbacked Canucks24c1,100$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Canucks31c1,037$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32511354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff46…4e8abacked Canucks26c1,002$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccc…78dcbacked Canucks26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Canucks30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Canucks25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Canucks25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…e00fbacked Avalanche76c997.88$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.49560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Avalanche60c983.83$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Avalanche77c911.56$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8332744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Canucks25c900$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche70c866.83$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks36c841$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche75c832.78$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Canucks24c820.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.787447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Canucks28c803$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.495349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd54…2941backed Avalanche75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Canucks27c736.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Avalanche75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2a…5d4abacked Avalanche76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.896256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Avalanche76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.894440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Canucks26c654$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.045752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69f…cc9ebacked Avalanche75c616.25$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche73c607.66$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.511,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Avalanche75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Canucks25c599.87$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9712244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Avalanche61c588.28$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.287317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks25c559.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.891,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche67c507.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Canucks28c502.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6720137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Canucks24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed Canucks25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Canucks17c492.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8525050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche74c486.52$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.081,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Avalanche75c473.52$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.383360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Avalanche65c464.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.522638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcaa6…d3fbbacked Avalanche75c450$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canucks24c429$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche74c418.94$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canucks25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500a…acd6backed Avalanche75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…52c1backed Avalanche75c385$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…709fbacked Canucks26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eec…a523backed Canucks25c340$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Avalanche72c314.16$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9627357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Canucks6c302.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…7a31backed Canucks25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7838857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Canucks25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ebf…a9d3backed Avalanche75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.