NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe00833c0a243faf527403c9437084852b76d01aab4f31c675b860b2cd4e5bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 119,011$62,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,378.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 20,196$9,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,704.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 48c | 19,304$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.17 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 15,566$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.99 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 48c | 11,561$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 48c | 10,785$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.2 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 10,780$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713.22 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 48c | 4,444$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.15 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Under | 48c | 3,094$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 2,744$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.32 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 1,762$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.86 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,540$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,468$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,333$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 865$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 568.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.11 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 49c | 536.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 47c | 514$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 478$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 255.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 254.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 192.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 135.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 51c | 101.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 94.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 53c | 83.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 49c | 80.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 65.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 57.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 33c | 52.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…af0bbacked Over | 68c | 50.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…4edbbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…039abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 38.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 36.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…a524backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 48c | 22.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…eb30backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…a2dfbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.