TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hawks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$789,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$834,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks29c222,454$64,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,441.5587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Pistons71c155,000$110,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,937.8812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons72c52,742$37,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,911.461,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons71c44,444$31,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,888.7617354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks28c24,000$6,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6883,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons71c18,127$12,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.7772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Hawks28c17,857$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Hawks0c16,060$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.243036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.971,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons73c13,699$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.6334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons73c12,689$9,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,41644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hawks28c12,532$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.8472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks27c11,832$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks14c10,767$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.4138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks28c10,205$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.9136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons73c10,050$7,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80047751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfde…40e8backed Hawks27c9,989$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons71c9,953$7,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.8744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Hawks28c9,524$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.8315443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks21c8,048$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.661,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Hawks30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40041652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons71c7,819$5,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Pistons72c7,653$5,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.981675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ad…af2ebacked Hawks27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8901631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks27c6,969$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.6374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks28c6,727$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.7448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e4…4e14backed Pistons72c6,500$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8201560%9 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks16c6,126$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.652,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks29c5,750$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.523135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1803…8385backed Pistons73c5,600$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks14c5,400$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks28c5,050$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4141,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Pistons71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4503063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks23c4,593$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b76…adb3backed Pistons72c4,500$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ecb…9a40backed Pistons73c4,381$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda2…3fa5backed Hawks28c4,300$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Pistons78c4,129$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.773857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Hawks12c4,049$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Pistons73c3,989$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.045463%34 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks29c3,300$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.271,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c75…5d84backed Pistons72c2,992$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5caa…953fbacked Pistons72c2,973$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Pistons70c2,953$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.258951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Pistons73c2,603$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7415855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hawks29c2,512$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Pistons73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Pistons79c2,499$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8416864.3%108 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks29c2,407$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.412,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks28c2,315$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.971,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks26c2,279$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Hawks22c2,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Hawks13c2,247$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Hawks29c2,195$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.644247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Hawks26c2,118$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hawks28c2,109$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6114254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Hawks27c2,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9216540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c2…6212backed Hawks28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Hawks29c1,828$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53033235.5%118 W · 214 L-27.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Pistons72c1,796$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.849260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hawks31c1,723$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.8648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks17c1,715$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Pistons72c1,711$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.56955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Hawks28c1,707$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47819144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Hawks24c1,600$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hawks27c1,594$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3722637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks22c1,583$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.671,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks26c1,542$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Hawks29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…a73ebacked Hawks28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa02…d9ebbacked Hawks28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Hawks28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42018518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…ed45backed Pistons78c1,459$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.031353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Pistons72c1,455$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.416053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pistons79c1,419$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pistons72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39247856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Hawks29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Pistons73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.868458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks28c1,362$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.271,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks28c1,347$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.812,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Pistons74c1,326$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6815639.1%61 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadab…aecdbacked Hawks28c1,300$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Pistons78c1,255$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.089439.4%37 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Hawks28c1,253$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.75139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Hawks26c1,239$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks25c1,226$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Hawks29c1,169$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9817250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Pistons71c1,162$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9822247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Hawks30c1,137$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.16051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Hawks14c1,133$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Hawks21c1,083$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2314727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks16c1,074$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…a0d4backed Hawks28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006050%30 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pistons72c1,070$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Pistons71c1,045$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.056746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pistons72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.