NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478b8006d054914465217bf13a6cf54fa3d2152a08d8396de79839818b9c437f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Hawks
Resolved: Dec 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $332,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $333,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	49c	246,249$120,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120,625.96	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons	51c	177,830$90,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,136.74	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,500	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons	51c	44,444$22,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,777.56	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pistons	53c	40,000$21,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,800	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	51c	21,444$10,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,506.37	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,433.96	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons	53c	8,594$4,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,039.13	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks	50c	7,519$3,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,723.7	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks	50c	6,600$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons	50c	3,321$1,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	50c	3,167$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Pistons	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons	54c	1,020$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.65	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons	54c	880$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.8	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons	51c	849$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.01	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Hawks	46c	807.05$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.24	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Hawks	55c	757$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.35	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks	48c	750.28$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.13	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawks	50c	744$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Hawks	38c	699.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.1	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons	51c	588$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.12	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Pistons	51c	489.03$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.62	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pistons	45c	457$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.35	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons	51c	441.66$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Pistons	65c	405.49$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.92	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Hawks	50c	400.84$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.42	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Pistons	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Pistons	53c	379.95$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.58	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons	51c	347.5$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Hawks	46c	329.98$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.79	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Hawks	50c	256$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Pistons	51c	250$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Pistons	54c	220$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Hawks	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons	51c	208$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.92	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons	52c	204.08$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.31	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Hawks	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…1a1abacked Pistons	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Pistons	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Hawks	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Pistons	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Pistons	50c	175.44$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.72	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks	48c	145.83$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons	50c	144.76$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.38	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawks	15c	143$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Hawks	50c	139.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	62c	115$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22dd…cc0fbacked Pistons	53c	103.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.77	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Hawks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Pistons	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Pistons	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Pistons	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Pistons	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Hawks	47c	89.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Pistons	52c	79.15$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.99	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons	55c	76.33$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.13	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Pistons	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Hawks	47c	75.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Pistons	56c	74.95$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.35	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Hawks	47c	70.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Hawks	47c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	244	54.1%132 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Hawks	48c	62.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Hawks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Pistons	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed Pistons	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Hawks	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Hawks	49c	51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hawks	33c	43.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hawks	47c	41.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Hawks	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Hawks	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks	45c	39.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea5…cc71backed Pistons	53c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Pistons	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Pistons	54c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Pistons	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks	46c	27.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3738…32a4backed Pistons	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…58b0backed Pistons	55c	27.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Pistons	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	218	38.1%83 W · 135 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb967…3bfdbacked Pistons	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hawks	46c	21.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Pistons	51c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb75…4761backed Pistons	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec8…eaefbacked Pistons	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2659…d77ebacked Pistons	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Pistons	53c	18.87$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	448	44.2%198 W · 250 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
Hawks vs. PistonsPistons won
Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event