NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9de0429992d2e4df2447ec57db8fb1e183eb14d99355e790767504d94909b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,253$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.74 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 2,515$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.4 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.98 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,182$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 981$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 910$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 48c | 887.04$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 738.71$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 349.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 52c | 250.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 45c | 238$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 52c | 149.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Over | 50c | 96.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 94.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 68.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 50c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 39.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…9503backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0199backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…c4d4backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5613backed Under | 49c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Hawks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.