NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d30a2e022d6c164bf7c2f52bf38e6237e990e3859f2a9e4bc28da67df36738

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,133,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,168,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,133,107 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked Wizards	22c	160,939$35,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,122.09	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks	79c	78,317$61,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,585.36	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks	78c	64,536$50,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,197.93	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Wizards	22c	60,000$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,199.98	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards	20c	42,582$8,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,668.06	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hawks	78c	41,230$32,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,981.8	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5b…d88dbacked Wizards	19c	31,242$5,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,917.52	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	79c	31,035$24,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,417.35	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks	79c	25,000$19,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks	79c	23,722$18,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,869.98	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Hawks	79c	21,348$16,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,519.61	53	79.2%42 W · 11 L	+6.7wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Hawks	78c	20,000$15,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards	21c	20,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.98	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6f…2e89backed Wizards	9c	18,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Wizards	27c	17,019$4,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,653.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards	20c	16,663$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.51	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks	79c	15,000$11,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,150	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards	21c	15,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,149.92	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	21c	14,717$3,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,090.35	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks	78c	12,794$9,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,835.38	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	20c	12,782$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.32	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks	78c	12,669$9,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,778.97	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ba…8a09backed Wizards	22c	12,356$2,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.26	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-8.2wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks	80c	10,405$8,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.95	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Wizards	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Hawks	79c	10,000$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Wizards	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.97	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e8f…52f4backed Wizards	27c	9,277$2,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,527.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	16c	7,189$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.93	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Hawks	79c	7,000$5,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	15c	6,973$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.83	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Wizards	23c	6,500$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.99	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	21c	6,428$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.19	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	24c	6,250$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.5	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Wizards	20c	6,108$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.9	217	23.5%51 W · 166 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Wizards	20c	5,517$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.15	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	5,136$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	22c	5,100$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Wizards	21c	5,062$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…28b7backed Hawks	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4110…42a9backed Wizards	21c	5,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks	76c	4,987$3,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	2c	4,979$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.31	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks	79c	4,424$3,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.96	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wizards	5c	4,223$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.13	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	4,150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Wizards	1c	4,124$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07f…c3bcbacked Hawks	79c	4,100$3,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	24c	4,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.98	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	78c	3,946$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	9c	3,944$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.31	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Hawks	80c	3,890$3,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.1	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	79c	3,861$3,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.34	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Hawks	78c	3,856$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.03	56	67.9%38 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Hawks	80c	3,748$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.6	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks	79c	3,500$2,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…8bb7backed Hawks	79c	3,500$2,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	58	72.4%42 W · 16 L	+8.0wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards	14c	3,497$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.82	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Wizards	21c	3,171$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Hawks	80c	3,126$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.76	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…94e7backed Wizards	22c	3,005$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Hawks	79c	2,941$2,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.56	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards	21c	2,800$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Wizards	21c	2,717$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.59	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c22…0557backed Wizards	28c	2,710$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks	77c	2,688$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.13	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Wizards	19c	2,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb560…60d6backed Hawks	78c	2,620$2,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.43	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-8.0wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Hawks	79c	2,532$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.65	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Hawks	78c	2,507$1,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.6	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Wizards	22c	2,500$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	13c	2,500$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.96	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hawks	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Hawks	79c	2,480$1,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.8	81	67.9%55 W · 26 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e4…1f4abacked Wizards	25c	2,440$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	24cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks	79c	2,414$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.05	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wizards	21c	2,380$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks	78c	2,237$1,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.13	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Wizards	21c	2,100$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	9c	2,048$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.67	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Wizards	25c	2,029$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.38	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Wizards	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…34b8backed Wizards	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards	3c	2,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards	17c	1,918$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.97	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wizards	23c	1,847$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.79	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards	18c	1,802$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.12	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards	21c	1,696$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.2	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Wizards	21c	1,673$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.31	172	50%86 W · 86 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3295…07afbacked Wizards	3c	1,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c79…cf06backed Hawks	78c	1,658$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d6…874abacked Hawks	75c	1,620$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	69cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa02…d9ebbacked Wizards	21c	1,600$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Hawks	78c	1,572$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.86	159	45.9%73 W · 86 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards	25c	1,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.99	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Hawks	79c	1,413$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.68	107	69.2%74 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event