College Football · resolved market
Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25e481a349f95a3499770eeabf6b0e94b82e21f2fb9cb43eef812c11578b8db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Internationalof Florida International, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 41,615$8,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.1 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Florida International | 80c | 31,295$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.68 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Florida International | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 3,739$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.73 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 24c | 3,248$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.49 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 2,549$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 2,290$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…21a1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 2,200$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 1,503$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…b502backed Florida International | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Florida International | 79c | 1,052$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Florida International | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Florida International | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 838.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Florida International | 80c | 813$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida International | 77c | 803.4$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida International | 76c | 772.96$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 503.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 497.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 446.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Florida International | 80c | 387.5$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 24c | 344.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida International | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Florida International | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Florida International | 78c | 152.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Florida International | 80c | 126.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed Florida International | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Florida International | 78c | 102.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Florida International | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Florida International | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 74.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…bad8backed Florida International | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 21c | 57.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida International | 77c | 40.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Florida International | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Florida International | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Florida International | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Florida International | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Florida International | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…e34dbacked Florida International | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Florida International | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Florida International | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Florida International | 79c | 23.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Florida International | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…a955backed Florida International | 79c | 22.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Florida International | 79c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…e2dbbacked Florida International | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…2889backed Florida International | 79c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Florida International | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…0e9fbacked Florida International | 80c | 17.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…cd75backed Florida International | 78c | 16.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…39f0backed Florida International | 80c | 16.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4e…069ebacked Florida International | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5f8ebacked Florida International | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsthis page
- Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Florida International (-10.5)Florida International won
- Spread: Florida International (-11.5)Florida International won
- Spread: Florida International (-9.5)Florida International won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.