TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c81…e258backed Bilibili Gaming50c21,077$10,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,539.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc38…5bb2backed Bilibili Gaming0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed EDward Gaming49c19,008$9,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,650.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed EDward Gaming50c13,314$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,693.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming54c6,835$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.347640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming51c3,355$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.0512835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa085…8fc2backed Bilibili Gaming50c3,042$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Bilibili Gaming53c1,870$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Bilibili Gaming46c1,866$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.4110756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a4…31e9backed Bilibili Gaming50c1,609$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7d…840fbacked EDward Gaming50c1,542$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…5a2ebacked EDward Gaming50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Bilibili Gaming8c1,403$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8580%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x281f…b7b5backed EDward Gaming50c1,124$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked EDward Gaming71c1,033$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2993743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked EDward Gaming47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Bilibili Gaming38c944.02$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.174641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked EDward Gaming48c883$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Bilibili Gaming52c882.97$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Bilibili Gaming54c807.41$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bilibili Gaming20c721.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0810743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Bilibili Gaming55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked EDward Gaming53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Bilibili Gaming3c690.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked EDward Gaming49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed EDward Gaming48c488.24$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.612138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00dd…7faabacked EDward Gaming50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Bilibili Gaming54c410.24$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked Bilibili Gaming3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Bilibili Gaming49c346.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.56048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed EDward Gaming49c308.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed EDward Gaming49c295.82$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.876251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming15c240.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9427411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Bilibili Gaming40c234.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.871735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed EDward Gaming48c226.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.874042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Bilibili Gaming54c214.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Bilibili Gaming39c211.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Bilibili Gaming52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bilibili Gaming54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed EDward Gaming56c179.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Bilibili Gaming48c143.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.514744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bilibili Gaming51c128.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bilibili Gaming51c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.673043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Bilibili Gaming52c111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.722339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308a…5d3abacked Bilibili Gaming52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1706…f054backed EDward Gaming48c103$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00af…3612backed EDward Gaming49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Bilibili Gaming51c102.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked EDward Gaming49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed EDward Gaming49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9bf…e473backed Bilibili Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c6…830cbacked EDward Gaming49c99.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked EDward Gaming73c89.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4e…9d03backed EDward Gaming49c81.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Bilibili Gaming49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked EDward Gaming47c76.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.191758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Bilibili Gaming52c75.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Bilibili Gaming28c70.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Bilibili Gaming26c64.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…5f8ebacked EDward Gaming75c61.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed EDward Gaming50c59.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Bilibili Gaming53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Bilibili Gaming50c54.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed EDward Gaming48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x280a…df86backed EDward Gaming48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Bilibili Gaming49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Bilibili Gaming52c48.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2147…52a8backed EDward Gaming48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Bilibili Gaming53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ab…6f93backed Bilibili Gaming47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Bilibili Gaming51c44.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Bilibili Gaming52c43.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Bilibili Gaming52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed EDward Gaming54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4714957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Bilibili Gaming54c38.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6518056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Bilibili Gaming40c36.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4f…2a64backed Bilibili Gaming47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Bilibili Gaming45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Bilibili Gaming52c32.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked EDward Gaming48c31.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked EDward Gaming79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0531…0f5cbacked EDward Gaming53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b24…04dabacked Bilibili Gaming54c21.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5475…fbe4backed EDward Gaming53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Bilibili Gaming53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed EDward Gaming71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.355100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.