Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5220dddb58fa97206b804b1a87c765f8fc414c301d21f3aa152c03b643902e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c0…0aedbacked Bilibili Gaming | 5c | 799.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 579.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 549.52$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 314.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 9c | 184.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed EDward Gaming | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 20c | 88.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 77.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…04dabacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 50.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EDward Gaming | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed EDward Gaming | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.