NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a6f7aa0f8df14027c78913069eeb2fedab4a58463adc1efbde50fcc1c222ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,923,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,116,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,923,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Lakers | 45c | 717,555$325,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392,555 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 45c | 360,626$161,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,549.3 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 45c | 230,000$103,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,500 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 55c | 223,704$122,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,104.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 55c | 175,271$96,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,398.91 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Raptors | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.95 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 50c | 90,000$44,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,090.07 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raptors | 54c | 76,821$41,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,483.38 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 44c | 67,614$29,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,939.8 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Raptors | 57c | 52,960$30,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,057.6 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Lakers | 44c | 52,960$23,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,528 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lakers | 63c | 50,000$31,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,501.54 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 48c | 44,675$21,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,438.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…ed17backed Lakers | 44c | 39,994$17,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,396.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 44c | 39,900$17,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,388.35 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Raptors | 56c | 38,584$21,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,607.24 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Raptors | 45c | 36,535$16,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,418.56 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Raptors | 49c | 34,922$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 45c | 33,314$15,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,177.66 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Raptors | 18c | 30,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Lakers | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Raptors | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Lakers | 43c | 29,171$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,627.21 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Raptors | 56c | 28,300$15,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,847.84 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Lakers | 47c | 27,700$13,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,685.71 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Raptors | 56c | 25,918$14,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,445.2 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Raptors | 55c | 25,322$13,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,927.1 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Raptors | 40c | 22,262$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,940.14 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Raptors | 55c | 22,219$12,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,178.68 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 37c | 21,740$8,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,065.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 54c | 21,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 57c | 20,685$11,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,689.56 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.9 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Lakers | 62c | 19,328$12,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 54c | 18,340$9,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,903.65 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 54c | 16,869$9,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…893bbacked Lakers | 59c | 16,856$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 51c | 15,547$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Lakers | 55c | 15,300$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lakers | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Raptors | 37c | 15,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.09 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 46c | 14,736$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,011.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Lakers | 48c | 14,325$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,482.2 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 55c | 13,385$7,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.71 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 48c | 13,110$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Raptors | 56c | 12,704$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 12,071$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Raptors | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 45c | 11,423$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.41 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 49c | 11,000$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 46c | 10,974$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.1 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Raptors | 56c | 10,624$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Lakers | 44c | 10,390$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.6 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Raptors | 52c | 10,223$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Raptors | 42c | 10,044$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Lakers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Raptors | 47c | 9,744$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.98 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lakers | 46c | 9,643$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.28 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors | 51c | 9,178$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Raptors | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Raptors | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…b9b1backed Raptors | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lakers | 46c | 8,912$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.4 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Raptors | 55c | 8,883$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.6 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Lakers | 56c | 8,228$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Raptors | 55c | 7,561$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.49 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 45c | 7,522$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.88 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Lakers | 46c | 7,246$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.65 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Lakers | 44c | 6,840$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Raptors | 52c | 6,687$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 57c | 6,539$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…5d74backed Raptors | 55c | 6,500$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 39c | 6,466$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,361$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.14 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 46c | 6,233$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.5 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 55c | 6,173$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.15 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Raptors | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 54c | 5,975$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 50c | 5,549$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.85 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Lakers | 66c | 5,525$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.67 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…0945backed Lakers | 47c | 5,511$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…d944backed Raptors | 53c | 5,505$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 48c | 5,502$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.05 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Raptors | 56c | 5,493$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 5,405$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.25 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…7a63backed Lakers | 46c | 5,400$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 55c | 5,395$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Raptors | 56c | 5,354$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.49 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors | 56c | 5,066$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 44c | 5,053$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.91 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Raptors | 49c | 5,004$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.75 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.01 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…dfa2backed Lakers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…984dbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,940$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Raptorsthis page
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.